He Wen-Qiang, Pereira Gavin, Hu Nan, Lingam Raghu, Hunt Lindsey, Gordon Adrienne, Jay Ollie, Nassar Natasha
Child Population and Translational Health Research, Children's Hospital Westmead Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, New South Wales, Australia.
Menzies Centre for Health Policy and Economics, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, New South Wales, Australia.
Pediatrics. 2025 Jan 1;155(1). doi: 10.1542/peds.2024-068183.
The burden and health impact of heat stress on child hospitalization is limited. This study aims to investigate associations between extreme heat stress exposure based on a Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), emergency department (ED) visits, and ED visits that translate into unplanned hospital admissions.
This population-based case-crossover study included all ED visits and unplanned hospital admissions among children and adolescents aged 0 to 18 years from New South Wales, Australia, from July 2001 to June 2020. Heat stress was measured by heatwave days defined as 2 consecutive days or more with daily maximum UTCI in the 95th percentile or higher. Distributed lag nonlinear regression models with a quasi-Poisson distribution were applied, and the relative risks from the models were presented.
Totals of 8 240 170 ED visits and 1 427 736 unplanned hospital admissions were recorded. Compared with nonheatwave days, heatwave days were associated with an increased risk of ED visits and hospital admissions due to infectious diseases and infectious enteritis by 5% to 17% and heat-related illness by 78% to 104%. Findings were consistent for subgroup analyses. Children aged younger than 1 year and those from the most disadvantaged areas were more vulnerable to heat-related illness on heatwave days. Effects on hospitalization were attenuated using ambient temperature only.
This study provides evidence of the effectiveness of UTCI to more completely demonstrate the harmful impact of extreme heat stress on increased infection and heat-related hospitalizations among children, which were not fully captured by using ambient temperature alone. Findings can inform targeted area-based strategies, particularly among vulnerable groups to mitigate the effects of extreme heat events.
热应激对儿童住院的负担及健康影响尚不明确。本研究旨在基于通用热气候指数(UTCI),调查极端热应激暴露与急诊科(ED)就诊以及导致非计划住院的ED就诊之间的关联。
本基于人群的病例交叉研究纳入了2001年7月至2020年6月期间澳大利亚新南威尔士州0至18岁儿童和青少年的所有ED就诊及非计划住院情况。热应激通过热浪日来衡量,热浪日定义为连续2天或更多天,每日最高UTCI处于第95百分位数或更高。应用具有准泊松分布的分布滞后非线性回归模型,并呈现模型得出的相对风险。
共记录了8240170次ED就诊和1427736次非计划住院。与非热浪日相比,热浪日导致因传染病和感染性肠炎的ED就诊及住院风险增加5%至17%,因热相关疾病的风险增加78%至104%。亚组分析结果一致。1岁以下儿童以及来自最贫困地区的儿童在热浪日更容易患热相关疾病。仅使用环境温度时,对住院的影响会减弱。
本研究提供了证据,证明UTCI能更全面地显示极端热应激对儿童感染增加和热相关住院的有害影响,仅使用环境温度无法完全捕捉这些影响。研究结果可为基于地区的针对性策略提供参考,尤其是针对弱势群体减轻极端热事件的影响。