Metsemakers Sanne J J P M, Hermens Rosella P M G, Ector Geneviève I C G, Blijlevens Nicole M A, Govers Tim M
Department of Hematology, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, Gelderland, The Netherlands.
Department of IQ Health, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, Gelderland, The Netherlands.
Value Health. 2025 Feb;28(2):224-232. doi: 10.1016/j.jval.2024.12.005. Epub 2024 Dec 27.
The management of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) now includes dose reduction (DR) and treatment-free remission (TFR). Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of lifelong-prescribed expensive tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) for CML is crucial. Prior cost-effectiveness evaluations state that imatinib is the favorable frontline TKI. Some of these evaluations address TFR, but not DR, nor aging and second-generation (2G)-TKIs upcoming patent expirations. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of frontline TKIs for CML patients including these factors.
This Markov model evaluates the cost-effectiveness of frontline TKIs for newly diagnosed patients with CML using 17 health states. Transition probabilities, costs, and utilities were derived from literature data. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated. Sensitivity analysis and model validation were conducted.
Nilotinib is most effective (20.13 quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]) and imatinib is least effective (17.25 QALYs) for the model including TFR and DR. Imatinib was favored over dasatinib (89.80%), nilotinib (62.70%), and bosutinib (78.40%), at a willingness-to-pay threshold of €80 000 per QALY. Without TFR and DR, fewer QALYs were generated. For patients at the age of 70 years, imatinib has a high probability of being more cost-effective than dasatinib, nilotinib, and bosutinib. With 50% 2GTKI cost reductions, nilotinib is considered more cost-effective compared with imatinib (98.40%), dasatinib (94.80%), and bosutinib (68.90%).
The findings indicate that 2GTKIs are more effective in generating QALYs, including for older (age >70 years) patients. Given the current TKI prices, imatinib remains cost-effective. Including DR and TFR in CML management generates more QALYs. Cost reductions from expected 2GTKIs patent expirations will greatly increase their cost-effectiveness. Results may inform 2GTKIs cost discussions after patent expiration, potentially broadening global availability. The findings also emphasize the importance of aiming for TFR and DR in CML management.
慢性髓性白血病(CML)的治疗目前包括剂量降低(DR)和无治疗缓解(TFR)。评估为CML患者终身开具昂贵的酪氨酸激酶抑制剂(TKI)的成本效益至关重要。先前的成本效益评估表明伊马替尼是首选的一线TKI。其中一些评估涉及TFR,但未涉及DR,也未涉及老龄化以及即将到期的第二代(2G)-TKI专利。本研究评估了包括这些因素在内的一线TKI对CML患者的成本效益。
该马尔可夫模型使用17种健康状态评估一线TKI对新诊断的CML患者的成本效益。转移概率、成本和效用均来自文献数据。计算了增量成本效益比。进行了敏感性分析和模型验证。
对于包括TFR和DR的模型,尼洛替尼最有效(20.13个质量调整生命年[QALY]),伊马替尼最无效(17.25个QALY)。在每QALY支付意愿阈值为80000欧元的情况下,伊马替尼比达沙替尼(89.80%)、尼洛替尼(62.70%)和博舒替尼(78.40%)更受青睐。如果没有TFR和DR,则产生的QALY较少。对于70岁的患者,伊马替尼比达沙替尼、尼洛替尼和博舒替尼更具成本效益的可能性很高。如果2G-TKI成本降低50%,与伊马替尼(98.40%)、达沙替尼(94.80%)和博舒替尼(68.90%)相比,尼洛替尼被认为更具成本效益。
研究结果表明,2G-TKI在产生QALY方面更有效,包括对老年(年龄>70岁)患者。鉴于目前TKI的价格,伊马替尼仍然具有成本效益。在CML管理中纳入DR和TFR可产生更多QALY。预计2G-TKI专利到期带来的成本降低将大大提高其成本效益。研究结果可能为专利到期后2G-TKI的成本讨论提供参考,有可能扩大其全球可及性。研究结果还强调了在CML管理中实现TFR和DR目标的重要性。