Bao Zhiwei, Yang Zhongli, Sun Ruixiang, Chen Guoliang, Meng Ruiling, Wu Wei, Li Ming D
State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
The Maiyata Research Institute For Beneficial Bacteria, Shaoxing, Zhejiang, China.
Sci Rep. 2024 Dec 28;14(1):31143. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-82418-3.
The gut microbiome, recognized as a critical component in the development of chronic diseases and aging processes, constitutes a promising approach for predicting host health status. Previous research has underscored the potential of microbiome-based predictions, and the rapid advancements of machine learning techniques have introduced new opportunities for exploiting microbiome data. To predict various host nonhealthy conditions, this study proposed an integrated machine learning-based estimation pipeline of Gut Age Index (GAI) by establishing a health aging baseline with the gut microbiome data from healthy individuals. We assessed the performance of GAI pipeline on two extensive cohorts - the Guangdong Gut Microbiome Project (GGMP) and the American Gut Project (AGP). In the GGMP cohort, for 20 common chronic diseases such as metabolic syndrome, obesity, and cardiovascular diseases, the proposed GAI achieved a balanced accuracy, ranging from 66 to 75%, with the prediction performance for atherosclerosis being the highest. In the AGP cohort, the balanced accuracy of GAI ranged from 58 to 72% for 10 diseases. Based on the results from these two datasets, we conclude that our proposed approach in this study can be used to predict individual health status, which offers the potential for scalable, cost-effective, and personalized health insights.
肠道微生物群被认为是慢性疾病发展和衰老过程中的关键组成部分,是预测宿主健康状况的一种有前景的方法。先前的研究强调了基于微生物群预测的潜力,而机器学习技术的快速发展为利用微生物群数据带来了新机遇。为了预测各种宿主不健康状况,本研究通过利用健康个体的肠道微生物群数据建立健康衰老基线,提出了一种基于机器学习的肠道年龄指数(GAI)综合估计流程。我们在两个大规模队列——广东肠道微生物群项目(GGMP)和美国肠道项目(AGP)上评估了GAI流程的性能。在GGMP队列中,对于代谢综合征、肥胖症和心血管疾病等20种常见慢性疾病,所提出的GAI实现了66%至75%的平衡准确率,其中对动脉粥样硬化的预测性能最高。在AGP队列中,GAI对10种疾病的平衡准确率在58%至72%之间。基于这两个数据集的结果,我们得出结论,本研究中提出的方法可用于预测个体健康状况,这为可扩展、具有成本效益和个性化的健康见解提供了潜力。