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沿海洪水与侵蚀控制决策支持工具评估:多标准视角

Evaluation of decision-support tools for coastal flood and erosion control: A multicriteria perspective.

作者信息

Enríquez-Hidalgo Andrés M, Vargas-Luna Andrés, Torres Andrés

机构信息

Civil Engineering Department, Engineering School, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Colombia; Laboratori d'Enginyeria Marítima, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (LIM/UPC)-Barcelona Tech, Spain; Ciencia e Ingeniería del agua y el ambiente Research Group, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Colombia.

Civil Engineering Department, Engineering School, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Colombia; Ciencia e Ingeniería del agua y el ambiente Research Group, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Colombia.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2025 Jan;373:123924. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123924. Epub 2025 Jan 4.

Abstract

Coastal areas face significant challenges due to natural and anthropogenic changes, such as sea level rise, extreme events and coastal erosion. The coastal management requires the consideration of socioeconomic and environmental factors to address these variables. The selection of an appropriate Decision Support Tool (DST) based on decision matrix method plays a crucial role in implementing coastal management strategies to tackle climate change-related issues. This has posed considerable challenges for decision-makers, aligning with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG). This review provides an overview of the practical experience in the application of DSTs for coastal erosion and flood risk, emphasizing the use of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA). DST choice depends on the coastal archetype, including its geographical features and sociocultural context. The purpose is to clarify how the integration of DSTs maximizes flexibility and supports the implementation of future Decision Support System (DSS) tailored to the needs of coastal cities with development pathways (DP). This review assesses different MCDA methods, highlighting their applicability, utility, and integration in coastal management, while evaluating each method's strengths, weaknesses, and specific applications, with a focus on sustainability and resilience. The review highlights the necessity of expert knowledge in accurately defining criteria and weighting factors to ensure that the chosen MCDA method reflects the complexities of the coastal environment. Depending on the scenario, methods like PROMETHEE and ELECTRE are recommended for their flexibility and robustness in handling complex decision-making processes, especially in data-rich and well-structured environments. In contrast, TOPSIS and AHP are suitable for scenarios with limited information or requiring minimal interaction with decision-makers. For more challenging contexts, where computational resources and expertise are constrained, methods like MAUT, VIKOR, and TODAIM emerge as viable alternatives due to their adaptability and reduced reliance on extensive datasets.

摘要

由于自然和人为变化,沿海地区面临重大挑战,如海平面上升、极端事件和海岸侵蚀。海岸管理需要考虑社会经济和环境因素来应对这些变量。基于决策矩阵方法选择合适的决策支持工具(DST)在实施海岸管理战略以应对气候变化相关问题方面起着至关重要的作用。这给决策者带来了相当大的挑战,与可持续发展目标(SDG)相一致。本综述概述了DST在海岸侵蚀和洪水风险应用中的实践经验,强调了多标准决策分析(MCDA)的使用。DST的选择取决于海岸原型,包括其地理特征和社会文化背景。目的是阐明DST的整合如何最大限度地提高灵活性,并支持实施未来针对具有发展路径(DP)的沿海城市需求定制的决策支持系统(DSS)。本综述评估了不同的MCDA方法,突出了它们在海岸管理中的适用性、实用性和整合性,同时评估了每种方法的优点、缺点和具体应用,重点是可持续性和恢复力。综述强调了专家知识在准确界定标准和加权因素方面的必要性,以确保所选的MCDA方法反映沿海环境的复杂性。根据具体情况,推荐使用PROMETHEE和ELECTRE等方法,因为它们在处理复杂决策过程中具有灵活性和稳健性,特别是在数据丰富且结构良好的环境中。相比之下,TOPSIS和AHP适用于信息有限或与决策者互动最少的情况。对于计算资源和专业知识受限的更具挑战性的情况,MAUT、VIKOR和TODAIM等方法因其适应性和对大量数据集的依赖减少而成为可行的替代方案。

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