Espinosa Oscar, Drummond Michael, Russo Ellyn, Williams David, Wix Donna
Economic Models and Quantitative Methods Research Group (IMEMC), Centro de Investigaciones para el Desarrollo, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, D.C., Colombia.
Centre for Health Economics, University of York, York, UK.
Int J Technol Assess Health Care. 2025 Jan 6;41(1):e3. doi: 10.1017/S0266462324004781.
A reflective analysis is presented on the potential added value that actuarial science can contribute to the field of health technology assessment. This topic is discussed based on the experience of several experts in health actuarial science and health economics. Different points are addressed, such as the role of actuarial science in health, actuarial judgment, data inputs and their quality, modeling methodologies and the use of decision-analytic models in the age of artificial intelligence, and the development of innovative pricing and payment models.
本文对精算科学可为健康技术评估领域带来的潜在附加值进行了反思性分析。基于健康精算科学和健康经济学领域多位专家的经验，对这一主题展开了讨论。探讨了不同的要点，如精算科学在健康领域的作用、精算判断、数据输入及其质量、建模方法以及在人工智能时代决策分析模型的应用，还有创新定价和支付模式的发展。
