Liu Jin-Wei, Tsai Ya-Wen, Lai Chih-Cheng, Tang Hung-Jen
Department of Internal Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan, Taiwan.
Division of Preventive Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan, Taiwan; Department of Medical Laboratory Sciences and Biotechnology, Fooyin University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
J Microbiol Immunol Infect. 2025 Apr;58(2):233-240. doi: 10.1016/j.jmii.2024.12.002. Epub 2024 Dec 20.
This study analyzed the epidemiological trends of three significant respiratory infectious diseases in Taiwan: invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), influenza with severe complications, and tuberculosis during post-COVID-19 pandemic period.
We utilized data from Taiwan's Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) website and classified the COVID-19 prevention policies into three phases for the year 2021, 2022, and 2023. We then performed a statistical analysis of reported case numbers for the three respiratory diseases during the 3-year period using the Kruskal-Wallis test, followed by joinpoint regression model for the identification of seasonal distribution and variation.
An annual increase was observed in cases of IPD and influenza with severe complication, with influenza exhibiting a significant surge in 2023 (p < 0.001). IPD showed a non-significant upward trend (p = 0.111), while tuberculosis cases decreased annually (p = 0.114) with the gradual slowdown in the incidence rate reduction. Also, seasonal analysis revealed that IPD peaked in winter and spring, while influenza with severe complication peaked anomalously in the summer of 2023, suggestive of a prominent summer influenza. Finally, imported cases of influenza with severe complication, primarily from East and Southeast Asia, were noted only in 2023.
The relaxation of COVID-19 preventive measures in Taiwan led to a marked resurgence of respiratory infectious diseases, particularly influenza with severe complication, accompanied by anomalous seasonality in 2023. This study highlights the need for continued vigilance and appropriate public health strategies, including vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions, to manage respiratory infectious diseases in the post-pandemic era.
本研究分析了台湾地区三种重要呼吸道传染病在新冠疫情后时期的流行病学趋势:侵袭性肺炎球菌疾病(IPD)、伴有严重并发症的流感和结核病。
我们利用了台湾疾病管制中心(CDC)网站的数据,并将2021年、2022年和2023年的新冠疫情防控政策分为三个阶段。然后,我们使用Kruskal-Wallis检验对这三种呼吸道疾病在3年期间的报告病例数进行了统计分析,随后采用连接点回归模型来确定季节性分布和变化。
观察到IPD和伴有严重并发症的流感病例数呈逐年上升趋势,流感在2023年出现显著激增(p < 0.001)。IPD呈非显著上升趋势(p = 0.111),而结核病病例数逐年下降(p = 0.114),发病率下降速度逐渐放缓。此外,季节性分析显示,IPD在冬季和春季达到高峰,而伴有严重并发症的流感在2023年夏季异常达到高峰,提示夏季流感较为突出。最后,仅在2023年发现了伴有严重并发症的流感输入病例,主要来自东亚和东南亚。
台湾地区新冠疫情防控措施的放松导致呼吸道传染病显著复苏,尤其是伴有严重并发症的流感,并在2023年出现异常季节性。本研究强调在疫情后时代需要持续保持警惕并采取适当的公共卫生策略,包括疫苗接种和非药物干预措施,以管理呼吸道传染病。