Chen Meng-Qi, Wan Chuan-Xue, Tong Jun, Wang An, Ruan Bin-Qian, Shen Jie-Yan
Department of Cardiology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 160 Pujian Road, Shanghai 200127, China.
J Clin Med. 2024 Dec 23;13(24):7855. doi: 10.3390/jcm13247855.
Inflammation plays a critical role in the prognosis of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio (LCR), as a novel inflammatory marker, has not been studied in patients with PAH. The objective of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of the LCR in patients with PAH. A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 116 patients with PAH diagnosed in Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, from January 2014 to December 2018. The primary outcome was a composite endpoint that included lung transplantation, rehospitalization for PAH, and all-cause death. The LCR is the ratio of the blood lymphocyte count to the C-reactive protein concentration. A total of 116 patients with PAH were included in this study, with an average age of 41.53 years; 92.2% were female, and the event rate was 57.8%. Restricted cubic spline analysis confirmed a linear association between the LCR and the risk of clinical worsening events. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that the LCR was significantly negatively associated with clinical worsening events, with hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of 0.772 (0.614-0.970). The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that event-free survival decreased significantly when the LCR was less than 1.477. LASSO regression selected four potential predictors, including the LCR, to construct a nomogram. The nomogram had a high predictive strength, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.805 (0.713-0.896). The calibration curves and decision curve analysis indicated that the nomogram had good predictive performance and the ability to guide clinical management. The LCR is a valuable prognostic marker for predicting long-term clinical events in patients with PAH, and the nomogram incorporating the LCR could effectively stratify risk and guide clinical decision making.
炎症在肺动脉高压(PAH)患者的预后中起着关键作用。淋巴细胞与C反应蛋白比值(LCR)作为一种新型炎症标志物,尚未在PAH患者中进行研究。本研究的目的是探讨LCR在PAH患者中的预后价值。对2014年1月至2018年12月在上海交通大学医学院附属仁济医院确诊的116例PAH患者进行了一项回顾性队列研究。主要结局是一个复合终点,包括肺移植、因PAH再次住院和全因死亡。LCR是血液淋巴细胞计数与C反应蛋白浓度的比值。本研究共纳入116例PAH患者,平均年龄41.53岁;92.2%为女性,事件发生率为57.8%。限制立方样条分析证实LCR与临床恶化事件风险之间存在线性关联。多变量Cox比例风险分析表明,LCR与临床恶化事件显著负相关,风险比和95%置信区间为0.772(0.614 - 0.970)。Kaplan-Meier曲线显示,当LCR小于1.477时,无事件生存期显著降低。LASSO回归选择了包括LCR在内的四个潜在预测因子来构建列线图。该列线图具有较高的预测强度,ROC曲线下面积为0.805(0.713 - 0.896)。校准曲线和决策曲线分析表明,列线图具有良好的预测性能和指导临床管理的能力。LCR是预测PAH患者长期临床事件的有价值的预后标志物,纳入LCR的列线图可以有效地分层风险并指导临床决策。