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1990年至2019年细菌性脓疱病负担的全球、区域和国家变化模式以及未来十年的预测。

The global, regional, and national patterns of change in the burden of bacterial pyoderma from 1990 to 2019 and the forecast for the next decade.

作者信息

Wang Hao, Bai Zihao, Shen Chong, Kou Jiaxi, Zhu Yanqing, Xie Huaxia, Chen Chen, Mo Ran

机构信息

Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 321, Zhongshan Road, Nanjing, 210008, Jiangsu, China.

Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210008, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jan 13;15(1):1810. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-85995-z.

Abstract

Pyoderma, commonly known as impetigo, is a bacterial skin infection causing pus formation, prevalent globally, especially in resource-poor areas. It affects both children and adults, including those with conditions like diabetes. Despite its significant impact and economic burden, research on its global epidemiology is limited. This study aims to address this gap by analyzing pyoderma trends from 1990 to 2019 using GBD data. The study aims to analyze global trends in pyoderma epidemiology from 1990 to 2019 using GBD data. Specifically, it investigates Age-Standardized Incidence Rate (ASIR), Mortality Rate (ASMR), and Disability-Adjusted Life Years Rate (ASDR) across 204 countries. Additionally, it provides insights into demographic and socioeconomic factors influencing pyoderma prevalence. Furthermore, it forecasts pyoderma's development trends for the next decade to inform public health strategies. Data were sourced from the GBD 2019 database, comprising various sources such as censuses, surveys, and registries. Estimates for pyoderma incidence, mortality, and DALYs, along with their 95% uncertainty intervals (UI), were retrieved. The Sociodemographic Index (SDI) was used to assess socioeconomic status, and statistical calculations were performed using the WHO Health Equity Assessment Toolkit and R software (v4.3.2). From 1990 to 2019, the Age-Standardized Incidence Rate (ASIR) and Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (ASMR) of impetigo increased, while the Age-Standardized Disability-Adjusted Life Years Rate (ASDR) declined. Significant global geographical heterogeneity persists, closely associated with the Sociodemographic Index (SDI). Children under 5 and the elderly are particularly at risk, with lower SDI nations bearing higher burdens. Population growth and aging contribute to this rise, with disparities in impetigo trends persisting among countries and regions with varying SDI levels, expected to continue until 2030. Pyoderma exhibits significant heterogeneity across age, gender, and geography, with pronounced disparities evident in underdeveloped regions or countries. Therefore, prioritizing policy formulation and implementing tailored prevention and treatment strategies for high-risk populations are imperative to alleviate the disease burden effectively. Such targeted approaches are crucial in addressing the global impact of pyoderma.

摘要

脓疱病,通常称为脓疱疮,是一种导致脓液形成的细菌性皮肤感染,在全球普遍存在,尤其是在资源匮乏地区。它影响儿童和成人,包括患有糖尿病等疾病的人群。尽管其影响重大且经济负担沉重,但关于其全球流行病学的研究却很有限。本研究旨在通过使用全球疾病负担(GBD)数据分析1990年至2019年脓疱病的趋势来填补这一空白。该研究旨在利用GBD数据分析1990年至2019年脓疱病流行病学的全球趋势。具体而言,它调查了204个国家的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)、死亡率(ASMR)和伤残调整生命年率(ASDR)。此外,它还深入探讨了影响脓疱病患病率的人口统计学和社会经济因素。此外,它还预测了脓疱病未来十年的发展趋势,以为公共卫生战略提供参考。数据来源于GBD 2019数据库,该数据库包含各种来源,如人口普查、调查和登记处。获取了脓疱病发病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年的估计值及其95%的不确定性区间(UI)。社会人口指数(SDI)用于评估社会经济地位,并使用世界卫生组织健康公平评估工具包和R软件(v4.3.2)进行统计计算。从1990年到2019年,脓疱疮的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)和年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)有所上升,而年龄标准化伤残调整生命年率(ASDR)则有所下降。全球存在显著的地理异质性,与社会人口指数(SDI)密切相关。5岁以下儿童和老年人尤其面临风险,SDI较低的国家负担较重。人口增长和老龄化导致了这种上升,不同SDI水平的国家和地区之间脓疱疮趋势的差异仍然存在,预计将持续到2030年。脓疱病在年龄、性别和地理上表现出显著的异质性,在欠发达地区或国家存在明显差异。因此,优先制定政策并针对高危人群实施量身定制的预防和治疗策略对于有效减轻疾病负担至关重要。这种有针对性的方法对于应对脓疱病的全球影响至关重要。

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