Heo Subin, Kim So Yeon, Lee So Jung, Lee Seung Soo, Byun Jae Ho, Won Hyung Jin, Shin Yong Moon, Choi Sang Hyun, Sirlin Claude B
Department of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiology, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, 88 Olympic-ro 43-gil Songpa-gu, 05505 Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Department of Radiology, Liver Imaging Group, UC San Diego, San Diego, CA.
AJR Am J Roentgenol. 2025 Apr;224(4):e2432433. doi: 10.2214/AJR.24.32433. Epub 2025 Jan 22.
. The LI-RADS Ultrasound Surveillance algorithm was updated in 2024, incorporating α-fetoprotein (AFP) and a visualization score of VIS-C into management recommendations after nonpositive results. . The purpose of this study was to compare the diagnostic performance of LI-RADS Ultrasound Surveillance version 2017 (v2017) and version 2024 (v2024) for the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in at-risk patients and to identify predictors of VIS-C on follow-up surveillance examinations. . This retrospective analysis included 407 patients (230 men and 177 women; median age, 56 years) with cirrhosis who underwent rounds of semiannual surveillance ultrasound as part of a prospective trial from November 2011 to August 2014. Two radiologists independently assigned ultrasound categories to round 1 examinations and visualization scores to round 1 and round 2 examinations; a third radiologist adjudicated disagreements. The AFP level was considered positive if elevated or increasing from preenrollment values, per v2024 criteria. The reference standard for HCC was positive biopsy or an LR-5 observation on MRI. Diagnostic performance was compared between v2017 and v2024. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify predictors of a round 2 VIS-C result, with attention given to risk factors for VIS-C described in v2024. . HCC was diagnosed in 28 patients (6.9%). LI-RADS Ultrasound Surveillance v2024, in comparison with v2017, showed greater sensitivity for reader 1 (64.3% vs 42.9%, = .03) and reader 2 (64.3% vs 39.3%, = .02) and lower specificity for reader 1 (82.1% vs 92.6%, < .001) and reader 2 (82.3% vs 92.9%, < .001). All seven patients with HCC detected by v2024 but not v2017 by means of consensus assessments had increasing AFP; two also had elevated AFP. Among 299 patients who underwent round 2 ultrasound after negative round 1 v2024 surveillance results, the only independent predictor of a round 2 VIS-C result was a round 1 VIS-C result (adjusted OR = 21.04 [95% CI, 10.84-40.83], < .001). For 88 of these patients with round 1 VIS-C, no v2024 risk factor showed a significant univariable association with repeat VIS-C. . Compared with v2017, LI-RADS Ultrasound Surveillance v2024 had higher sensitivity but lower specificity for HCC detection, which was primarily related to increasing, rather than elevated, AFP. The only independent predictor of VIS-C on subsequent ultrasound was the initial VIS-C result. . The findings support the use of LI-RADS Ultrasound Surveillance v2024 to improve HCC detection in at-risk patients.
LI-RADS超声监测算法于2024年更新,将甲胎蛋白(AFP)和VIS-C可视化评分纳入了非阳性结果后的管理建议中。本研究的目的是比较2017版(v2017)和2024版(v2024)LI-RADS超声监测对高危患者肝细胞癌(HCC)的诊断性能,并确定随访监测检查中VIS-C的预测因素。这项回顾性分析纳入了407例肝硬化患者(230例男性和177例女性;中位年龄56岁),他们在2011年11月至2014年8月作为一项前瞻性试验的一部分接受了每半年一次的监测超声检查。两名放射科医生独立对第一轮检查进行超声分类,并对第一轮和第二轮检查进行可视化评分;第三名放射科医生对分歧进行裁决。根据v2024标准,如果AFP水平升高或高于入组前值,则视为阳性。HCC的参考标准是活检阳性或MRI上的LR-5观察结果。比较了v2017和v2024之间的诊断性能。进行逻辑回归分析以确定第二轮VIS-C结果的预测因素,并关注v2024中描述的VIS-C危险因素。28例患者(6.9%)被诊断为HCC。与v2017相比,LI-RADS超声监测v2024对读者1的敏感性更高(64.3%对42.9%,P = 0.03),对读者2的敏感性也更高(64.3%对39.3%,P = 0.02),而对读者1的特异性更低(82.1%对92.6%,P < 0.001),对读者2的特异性也更低(82.3%对92.9%,P < 0.001)。通过共识评估,v2024检测到但v2017未检测到的所有7例HCC患者的AFP均升高;2例患者的AFP也高于正常水平。在第一轮v2024监测结果为阴性后接受第二轮超声检查的299例患者中,第二轮VIS-C结果的唯一独立预测因素是第一轮VIS-C结果(校正OR = 21.04 [95%CI,10.84 - 40.83],P < 0.001)。对于这88例第一轮VIS-C为阳性的患者,没有v2024危险因素显示与重复VIS-C有显著的单变量关联。与v2017相比,LI-RADS超声监测v2024对HCC检测具有更高的敏感性但更低的特异性,这主要与AFP升高而非AFP水平升高有关。后续超声检查中VIS-C的唯一独立预测因素是初始VIS-C结果。这些发现支持使用LI-RADS超声监测v2024来提高高危患者HCC的检测率。