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利用谷歌趋势分析公众对骨质疏松症的关注度:季节和经济因素是否有影响?

ANALYSIS OF PUBLIC INTEREST ABOUT OSTEOPOROSIS USING GOOGLE TRENDS: ARE SEASON AND ECONOMY EFFECTIVE?

作者信息

Dede B T, Oğuz M, Alyanak B, Bağcıer F

机构信息

"Prof. Dr. Cemil Tascioglu" City Hospital, Department of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation.

Istanbul Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul.

出版信息

Acta Endocrinol (Buchar). 2024 Apr-Jun;20(2):121-126. doi: 10.4183/aeb.2024.121. Epub 2025 Jan 18.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to assess the awareness of the USA and world population about osteoporosis, taking into account seasonal variations and economic conditions.

METHODS

The term "osteoporosis" was searched using Google Trends between January 1, 2004 and September 12, 2024. Cosinor analysis was used to test the effect of seasonality on relative search volumes (RSV) for osteoporosis searches in the USA and worldwide. LOESS (Locally Estimated Scatterplot Smoothing) was used to decompose a time series into its seasonal component, trend component, and residual component. We also analysed RSV values in US states according to income levels.

RESULTS

It is seen that RSV values in the USA and the world have been in a decreasing trend from 2004 to 2014, but after 2015, they have been in an increasing trend. According to the results of the cosinor analysis, RSV values in the US and worldwide are highest in the fall months and lowest in the summer months. Significant differences were found in search trends between seasons in both the US and the world (p<0.05). There is no statistically significant difference in RSV values by income level worldwide and in the USA (p>0.05).

CONCLUSION

Osteoporosis appears to be a global health problem and a major focus of attention, both in the US and around the world. Health strategies to increase osteoporosis awareness can be planned to address different income groups, taking into account regional and seasonal effects.

摘要

背景

本研究的目的是评估美国和世界人口对骨质疏松症的认知情况,同时考虑季节变化和经济状况。

方法

在2004年1月1日至2024年9月12日期间,使用谷歌趋势搜索“骨质疏松症”一词。采用余弦分析来检验季节性对美国和全球骨质疏松症搜索相对搜索量(RSV)的影响。使用局部加权散点平滑法(LOESS)将时间序列分解为季节性成分、趋势成分和残差成分。我们还根据收入水平分析了美国各州的RSV值。

结果

可以看出,从2004年到2014年,美国和全球的RSV值呈下降趋势,但在2015年之后呈上升趋势。根据余弦分析结果,美国和全球的RSV值在秋季月份最高,在夏季月份最低。在美国和全球,不同季节的搜索趋势存在显著差异(p<0.05)。全球和美国按收入水平划分的RSV值没有统计学上的显著差异(p>0.05)。

结论

骨质疏松症似乎是一个全球性的健康问题,在美国和世界各地都是主要关注焦点。可以考虑地区和季节影响,制定提高骨质疏松症认知的健康策略以针对不同收入群体。

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本文引用的文献

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[Translated article] Socioeconomic status, osteoporosis and fragility fractures.[翻译文章] 社会经济地位、骨质疏松症与脆性骨折
Rev Esp Cir Ortop Traumatol. 2024 Nov-Dec;68(6):T539-T546. doi: 10.1016/j.recot.2024.08.007. Epub 2024 Aug 9.
8
Seasonal variation in Internet searches for vitamin D.互联网上对维生素D搜索量的季节性变化。
Arch Osteoporos. 2017 Dec;12(1):28. doi: 10.1007/s11657-017-0322-7. Epub 2017 Mar 10.
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Seasonal Variation in Hip Fracture Mortality.髋部骨折死亡率的季节性变化。
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