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混合政体社会中线上与线下行动主义的预测因素——塞尔维亚研究

Predictors of online and offline activism in hybrid regime society - Serbian study.

作者信息

Pedović Ivana, Pejičić Marija, Đorić Stefan

机构信息

Department of Psychology, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Niš, Niš, Serbia.

出版信息

Br J Psychol. 2025 Aug;116(3):525-552. doi: 10.1111/bjop.12772. Epub 2025 Jan 23.

Abstract

In Serbia, categorized as a hybrid or semi-authoritarian system by Freedom House, exploring activism is crucial. Two cross-sectional studies were conducted to examine predictors of online and offline civic activism in a society favouring punitive measures and limiting open dialogue. The first study involved 1107 participants (65.1% female, 33.2% male and 1.6% in other categories; M = 28.15 years), while the second included 2306 individuals (67.5% female, 30.2% male and 2.3% in other categories; M = 28.1 years). We modelled the relationship between predictor variables and a dependent variable at different quantiles of the distribution (25th, 50th, 75th and quantile marked with theoretical middle points of online and activism scales) using quantile regression. Results highlighted perceived policy control, social generativity and conscientiousness as key predictors across different levels of both online and offline activism. Personality traits like extroversion, neuroticism and honesty have different effects on online versus offline activism, suggesting different motivations. Additionally, future-oriented people participate more offline. The quantile regression, analysing coefficients at different points in the distribution, offered valuable insights into manifestations of activism. These findings are discussed highlighting the complex dynamic of different factors in shaping civic engagement in Serbia's challenging sociopolitical landscape.

摘要

在被自由之家归类为混合或半威权体制的塞尔维亚,探索行动主义至关重要。我们开展了两项横断面研究,以考察在一个倾向于惩罚措施并限制公开对话的社会中,线上和线下公民行动主义的预测因素。第一项研究有1107名参与者(女性占65.1%,男性占33.2%,其他类别占1.6%;平均年龄M = 28.15岁),而第二项研究包括2306人(女性占67.5%,男性占30.2%,其他类别占2.3%;平均年龄M = 28.1岁)。我们使用分位数回归,对预测变量与分布不同分位数(第25、50、75分位数以及用线上和行动主义量表理论中点标记的分位数)处的因变量之间的关系进行建模。结果表明,感知到的政策控制、社会生产力和尽责性是线上和线下不同行动主义水平的关键预测因素。外向性、神经质和诚实等人格特质对线上和线下行动主义有不同影响,表明动机各异。此外,着眼未来的人更多地参与线下活动。分位数回归分析分布中不同点的系数,为行动主义的表现提供了有价值的见解。我们讨论了这些发现,强调了在塞尔维亚具有挑战性的社会政治环境中,不同因素在塑造公民参与方面的复杂动态。

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