Suppr超能文献

住院期间接受鼻内镜手术患者术后下肢深静脉血栓形成的预测列线图:一项回顾性队列研究

Predictive nomogram for postoperative lower-limb deep vein thrombosis in patients undergoing endoscopic endonasal surgery during hospitalization: a retrospective cohort study.

作者信息

Peng Hai, Yuan Ruofei, Zhang Zhe, Wang Ying, Wang Xingchao, Wang Bo, Li Peng

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, No.119 South Fourth Ring West Road, Fengtai District 100070, Beijing, China.

Neural Reconstruction Department, Beijing Neurosurgical Institute, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jan 25;15(1):3221. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-87656-7.

Abstract

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in patients undergoing endoscopic endonasal surgery remains underexplored, despite its potential impact on postoperative recovery. This study aimed to develop and validate a predictive nomogram for assessing the risk of lower-limb DVT in such patients without chemoprophylaxis. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 935 patients with postoperative lower-limb vein ultrasonography. Clinical data, including potential risk factors, were used to construct a predictive model via multivariate logistic regression analysis. The resulting nomogram was validated using an independent cohort and evaluated through concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis. The incidence of postoperative DVT was 28.9%, with most cases being distal (27.2%). Significant predictors included older age, intraoperative bleeding, female gender, prolonged surgery duration, elevated postoperative APTT and D-dimer levels, and disturbance of consciousness. The nomogram demonstrated good predictive performance, with C-index values of 0.81 in the training cohort and 0.75 in the validation cohort. Calibration and decision curve analyses confirmed the model's clinical applicability. This nomogram offers a practical tool for individualized DVT risk assessment in patients undergoing endoscopic endonasal surgery, facilitating more targeted prophylactic measures.

摘要

尽管内镜鼻内手术患者发生深静脉血栓形成(DVT)对术后恢复有潜在影响,但其相关研究仍较少。本研究旨在建立并验证一种预测列线图,用于评估此类未接受化学预防患者发生下肢DVT的风险。对935例行术后下肢静脉超声检查的患者进行了回顾性分析。利用包括潜在危险因素在内的临床数据,通过多因素逻辑回归分析构建预测模型。使用独立队列对所得列线图进行验证,并通过一致性指数(C指数)、校准图和决策曲线分析进行评估。术后DVT发生率为28.9%,大多数病例为远端DVT(27.2%)。显著的预测因素包括年龄较大、术中出血、女性、手术时间延长、术后活化部分凝血活酶时间(APTT)和D-二聚体水平升高以及意识障碍。该列线图显示出良好的预测性能,训练队列的C指数值为0.81,验证队列的C指数值为0.75。校准和决策曲线分析证实了该模型的临床适用性。此列线图为内镜鼻内手术患者的个体化DVT风险评估提供了一种实用工具,有助于采取更有针对性的预防措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f604/11763263/b120457e6e7a/41598_2025_87656_Fig1_HTML.jpg

相似文献

2
A Nomogram for Predicting Pulmonary Complications Following Laparoscopic Surgery in Elderly Patients After the COVID-19 Pandemic.
Clin Interv Aging. 2025 Jun 13;20:837-848. doi: 10.2147/CIA.S515849. eCollection 2025.
4
Development and validation of a novel prediction model for new-onset atrial fibrillation after lung resection.
Ann Med. 2025 Dec;57(1):2519673. doi: 10.1080/07853890.2025.2519673. Epub 2025 Jun 19.
5
Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Myocardial Infarction: A Nomogram-Based Retrospective Analysis of the MIMIC-IV Database.
Vasc Health Risk Manag. 2025 Jun 11;21:461-476. doi: 10.2147/VHRM.S511277. eCollection 2025.
6
Development and validation of a risk nomogram to estimate risk of hyponatremia after spinal cord injury: A retrospective single-center study.
J Spinal Cord Med. 2025 Jul;48(4):604-612. doi: 10.1080/10790268.2024.2329437. Epub 2024 Apr 24.
9
Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Lower Extremity Deep Venous Thrombosis in Patients after Acute Stroke.
J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis. 2021 May;30(5):105683. doi: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2021.105683. Epub 2021 Mar 4.
10
Long-term mechanical failure in well aligned adult spinal deformity patients.
Spine J. 2025 Feb;25(2):337-346. doi: 10.1016/j.spinee.2024.09.019. Epub 2024 Sep 26.

本文引用的文献

3
Meningioma resection and venous thromboembolism incidence, management, and outcomes.
Res Pract Thromb Haemost. 2023 Mar 15;7(2):100121. doi: 10.1016/j.rpth.2023.100121. eCollection 2023 Feb.
4
Venous thromboembolism rates and risk factors following endoscopic skull base surgery.
Int Forum Allergy Rhinol. 2022 Jul;12(7):935-941. doi: 10.1002/alr.22943. Epub 2022 Jan 5.
9
High Incidence of Deep Vein Thrombosis in the Perioperative Period of Neurosurgical Patients.
World Neurosurg. 2018 Apr;112:e103-e112. doi: 10.1016/j.wneu.2017.12.139. Epub 2017 Dec 30.
10
Should we diagnose and treat distal deep vein thrombosis?
Hematology Am Soc Hematol Educ Program. 2017 Dec 8;2017(1):231-236. doi: 10.1182/asheducation-2017.1.231.

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验