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基于驾驶行为的城市层面车辆一氧化碳排放因子估算:以中国天津为例。

City-level estimation of vehicle CO emission factors regarding driving behaviors: The case of Tianjin, China.

作者信息

Ye Haipeng, Li Yu, Zheng Ji, Li Zehong

机构信息

Institute of Geomatics, Department of Civil Engineering, 3S Centre, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.

Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Dec 14;11(1):e41253. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e41253. eCollection 2025 Jan 15.

Abstract

The estimation of CO emission factors (EFs) is a key step in calculating automobile CO emissions. However, city-level research on the integrated estimation of vehicle CO EFs under real conditions is insufficient. To enrich the research methods of city-level vehicle CO EFs, this paper constructs a vehicle-road-driver three-layer regression model and estimates vehicle CO EFs empirical parameters for Tianjin. The results show that the influences of vehicle CO EFs can be ranked as follows: engine displacement level (0.740) > total mileage (0.336) > driving habit after the start (-0.072) > vehicle size (0.064). The average empirical parameter of Tianjin's vehicle CO EFs is 195.38 g/km. This study can provide a method to estimate vehicle CO EFs at city level, enrich the Chinese EFs database in the transport sector, and provide scientific support to formulate integrated low-carbon transport policies.

摘要

一氧化碳排放因子(EFs)的估算乃是计算汽车一氧化碳排放量的关键步骤。然而,针对实际条件下车辆一氧化碳排放因子综合估算的城市层面研究尚不充分。为丰富城市层面车辆一氧化碳排放因子的研究方法,本文构建了车辆-道路-驾驶员三层回归模型,并对天津的车辆一氧化碳排放因子经验参数进行了估算。结果表明,车辆一氧化碳排放因子的影响程度排序如下:发动机排量水平(0.740)>总行驶里程(0.336)>启动后的驾驶习惯(-0.072)>车辆尺寸(0.064)。天津车辆一氧化碳排放因子的平均经验参数为195.38克/公里。本研究可为城市层面估算车辆一氧化碳排放因子提供一种方法,丰富交通运输领域的中国排放因子数据库,并为制定综合低碳交通政策提供科学支撑。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f1a7/11760841/bcee526e5201/gr1.jpg

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