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孟加拉国孕妇接受熟练产前护理访视的城乡差异:零膨胀和一膨胀泊松回归模型

Rural-urban disparity in uptaking skilled antenatal care visits by pregnant women in Bangladesh: Zero and One Inflated Poisson regression model.

作者信息

Tanvia Lubana, Haque M Ershadul, Bari Wasimul

机构信息

Department of Statistics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Jan 29;20(1):e0318341. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0318341. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Utilization of maternal health care services, specifically, antenatal care services from skilled health providers have been given utmost priority in low- and middle-income countries over years with a view of mitigating complications during pregnancy as well as safeguarding the health and survival of both mother and newborn. However, there is a general tendency of pregnant mothers in Bangladesh of receiving skilled antenatal care (SANC) service once, or even never which refrains us to ensure World Health Organization (WHO) recommended eight plus SANC visits, additionally, to meet Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) number three.

OBJECTIVES

The study aims at assessing how the average number of SANC visits taken by the reproductive women in Bangladesh changes over the time in rural and urban areas together with finding out the potential demographic and socio-economic factors associated with SANC visits by addressing possible accumulation of zero and one counts in SANC visits.

METHODS

In this study, data have been retrieved from last four waves of Bangladesh Demographic and Health Surveys ranging from 2011 to 2022 and later combined together to form a pooled dataset. Non-parametric Kruskal-Wallis test has been performed for exploring unadjusted association of covariates with the response and Mann-Whitney U test has been conducted for multiple comparison in case of significant association for a covariate having more than two categories. For checking the existence of concurrent inflation at zero and one in the pooled dataset, partial score test has been performed. Based on the results of score test, Zero and One Inflated Poisson regression model has been fitted to the pooled dataset, where an interaction term between area of residence and survey year has been considered for trend analysis.

RESULTS

The study highlights that the rate of mean SANC visits is rapidly rising with time among pregnant women not only from the urban areas but also from the rural areas of Bangladesh. However, the rate of change in uptaking the SANC visits is higher in rural area compared to urban area. It was observed that for a given survey year, the rate of mean SANC visits was higher among women from urban areas compared to that among women from rural areas of Bangladesh. This study provides the evidence of 17.2% extra zero counts and 1.1% extra one counts in the pooled dataset.

CONCLUSION

The study results depict that inequity in SANC services based on area of residence prevails in Bangladesh. However, the gap in the rate of mean SANC visits in rural areas compared to urban areas has gradually reduced over time. Based on the results, the study comes up with some recommendations to facilitate the policy makers in improvising strategies and ensuring sustainable rise in SANC counts as well as WHO recommended positive pregnancy experience in the country to meet SDGs.

摘要

背景

多年来,低收入和中等收入国家一直将孕产妇保健服务的利用,特别是来自熟练卫生保健提供者的产前保健服务放在首位,以期减轻孕期并发症,并保障母亲和新生儿的健康与生存。然而,孟加拉国的孕妇普遍倾向于只接受一次熟练的产前保健(SANC)服务,甚至根本不接受,这使我们无法确保世界卫生组织(WHO)建议的八次及以上SANC就诊,此外,也无法实现可持续发展目标(SDG)3。

目的

本研究旨在评估孟加拉国城乡地区育龄妇女的SANC就诊平均次数随时间的变化情况,并通过解决SANC就诊次数为零和一的可能聚集问题,找出与SANC就诊相关的潜在人口统计学和社会经济因素。

方法

在本研究中,数据取自2011年至2022年孟加拉国四轮人口与健康调查,随后合并形成一个汇总数据集。进行了非参数Kruskal-Wallis检验,以探索协变量与响应之间的未调整关联;对于具有两类以上的协变量,若存在显著关联,则进行Mann-Whitney U检验以进行多重比较。为检验汇总数据集中零和一的同时膨胀情况,进行了偏得分检验。基于得分检验结果,对汇总数据集拟合了零和一膨胀泊松回归模型,其中考虑了居住地区和调查年份之间的交互项进行趋势分析。

结果

该研究强调,不仅孟加拉国城市地区的孕妇,农村地区的孕妇平均SANC就诊率也在迅速上升。然而,农村地区接受SANC就诊的变化率高于城市地区。据观察,在给定的调查年份中,孟加拉国城市地区妇女的平均SANC就诊率高于农村地区妇女。本研究提供了证据,表明汇总数据集中额外存在17.2%的零计数和1.1%的一计数。

结论

研究结果表明,孟加拉国基于居住地区的SANC服务存在不平等现象。然而,农村地区与城市地区平均SANC就诊率的差距随着时间的推移逐渐缩小。基于研究结果,该研究提出了一些建议,以帮助政策制定者改进策略,确保SANC就诊次数持续增加,并在该国实现WHO推荐的积极妊娠体验,以实现可持续发展目标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9acc/11778761/1ddb16686eaa/pone.0318341.g001.jpg

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