Fox A J, Goldblatt P O, Jones D R
J Epidemiol Community Health. 1985 Mar;39(1):1-8. doi: 10.1136/jech.39.1.1.
Data from 10 years follow up of mortality in the OPCS Longitudinal Study are used to relate deaths of men in 1976-81 to their social class as recorded by the 1971 census. Explanations of social class mortality differentials are critically reviewed in the light of these new data. The similarity between the class differentials observed for men aged 15-64 years in this study and those reported in the 1970-2 Decennial Supplement on Occupational Mortality indicate that the published gradients were not in fact grossly distorted by numerator denominator biases. Distortions to gradients observed in the early years of the longitudinal study and ascribed to selective health related mobility out of employment from the principal social classes to the permanently sick had largely worn off after five years of follow up. Sharp gradients at ages over 75 years, similar to those at younger ages, suggest that, for men aged over 50 years, selective health related mobility between social classes does not contribute to differentials in mortality.
利用英国人口普查与调查办公室纵向研究中10年死亡率随访数据,将1976 - 1981年男性死亡情况与其在1971年人口普查记录的社会阶层联系起来。根据这些新数据,对社会阶层死亡率差异的解释进行了严格审查。本研究中观察到的15 - 64岁男性阶层差异与1970 - 1972年《职业死亡率十年补充报告》中报告的差异相似,这表明已公布的梯度实际上并未因分子分母偏差而严重扭曲。纵向研究早期观察到的梯度扭曲,归因于与健康相关的选择性流动,即从主要社会阶层就业转向长期患病,在随访五年后已基本消除。75岁以上年龄段的陡峭梯度与年轻年龄段相似,这表明,对于50岁以上男性来说,与健康相关的社会阶层间选择性流动不会导致死亡率差异。