Freedland K E, Frankel M T, Evenson R C
J Stud Alcohol. 1985 Mar;46(2):103-6. doi: 10.15288/jsa.1985.46.103.
A comparison was conducted of several discriminant models (linear, stepwise linear and quadratic) using two definitions of prior probability (proportional and equal) to detect alcoholism on the basis of routine blood test results. Discriminant functions were derived on a sample of men alcoholic (N = 407) and nonalcoholic (N = 1068) psychiatric patients, and were cross-validated on an independent sample of the same two populations (NS = 365 and 1020, respectively). Linear discriminant models generally outperformed quadratic models. The best classification was obtained by the equal stepwise linear model that retained SGOT, calcium, albumin, inorganic phosphate and BUN. The best quadratic model (equal) achieved good overall accuracy but weak sensitivity. The linear model was relatively accurate in terms of classification, and better sensitivity was achieved with the five best predictors than with all available measures.
使用两种先验概率定义(成比例和相等),基于常规血液检测结果,对几种判别模型(线性、逐步线性和二次模型)进行了比较,以检测酒精中毒。判别函数是根据男性酒精成瘾(N = 407)和非酒精成瘾(N = 1068)精神科患者的样本得出的,并在相同两个人群的独立样本(分别为NS = 365和1020)上进行了交叉验证。线性判别模型通常优于二次模型。通过保留谷草转氨酶、钙、白蛋白、无机磷酸盐和尿素氮的相等逐步线性模型获得了最佳分类。最佳二次模型(相等)总体准确率良好,但敏感性较弱。线性模型在分类方面相对准确,使用五个最佳预测指标比使用所有可用指标具有更好的敏感性。