Szapudi Istvan
Institute for Astronomy, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, 2680 Woodlawn Drive, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Feb 13;383(2290):20240026. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0026.
The integrated Sachs-Wolfe (ISW) effect from stacking cosmic microwave background (CMB) images of superclusters and voids persists as a challenge to the concordance [Formula: see text]CDM paradigm. The signal is 4-5 times the expectation. The CMB Cold Spot (CS), the most significant CMB anomaly, resulted in the discovery of the Eridanus supervoid, one of the most enormous known structures. Bayesian statistics and a later Dark Energy Survey (DES) analysis suggest it is responsible for the CS, consistent with the observed fourfold enhancement over concordance predictions. These results motivate the average expansion rate approximation (AvERA) model, tracking coarse-grained inhomogeneities in an -body simulation. The AvERA expansion history provides a 'late solution' to the Hubble-constant tension with emerging curvature taking the role of Dark Energy, is consistent with all principal CMB and large-scale structure measurements, and solves the ISW puzzle. In addition, it predicts a sign reversal of the ISW effect that has been recently confirmed, albeit at a moderate significance, with eBOSS quasars. Deep and wide galaxy surveys, such as Euclid, will soon confirm or refute the 'late complexity' indicated by the ISW sign reversal, increase the overall statistical significance of the findings and settle whether the ISW puzzle necessitates any significant modification to the concordance [Formula: see text]CDM paradigm.This article is part of the discussion meeting issue 'Challenging the standard cosmological model'.
通过叠加超星系团和空洞的宇宙微波背景(CMB)图像得到的综合萨克斯 - 沃尔夫(ISW)效应,仍然是对一致性ΛCDM范式的一个挑战。该信号比预期高4到5倍。CMB冷斑(CS)是最显著的CMB异常,它导致了波江座超级空洞的发现,这是已知的最大结构之一。贝叶斯统计和后来的暗能量调查(DES)分析表明,它是造成冷斑的原因,与观测到的比一致性预测高四倍的增强结果相符。这些结果促使了平均膨胀率近似(AvERA)模型的产生,该模型在N体模拟中追踪粗粒度的不均匀性。AvERA膨胀历史为哈勃常数张力提供了一个“晚期解决方案”,其中新出现的曲率起到了暗能量的作用,与所有主要的CMB和大尺度结构测量结果一致,并解决了ISW难题。此外,它预测了ISW效应的符号反转,最近这一点已得到eBOSS类星体的证实,尽管显著性一般。像欧几里得这样的深度和广度星系巡天将很快证实或反驳由ISW符号反转所表明的“晚期复杂性”,提高研究结果的整体统计显著性,并确定ISW难题是否需要对一致性ΛCDM范式进行任何重大修改。本文是“挑战标准宇宙学模型”讨论会议题的一部分。