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改良虚弱指数对甲状腺癌患者术后恶心呕吐的预测作用

Predictive effect of modified frailty index on postoperative nausea and vomiting in thyroid cancer patients.

作者信息

Zhang Chengzhen, Chi Wenying, Yu Xiaoqian, Wang Xia, Yang Yaning, Meng Fanjun

机构信息

Department of Anesthesiology, Central Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Shandong, PR China.

Department of Anesthesiology, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, PR China.

出版信息

Medicine (Baltimore). 2024 Dec 27;103(52):e41131. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000041131.

Abstract

Postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV) are common complications following thyroid cancer surgery, impacting patient well-being, prognosis, and potentially leading to severe complications. Frailty, a critical risk factor for postoperative complications, has not been thoroughly investigated concerning PONV in thyroid cancer patients. This study aimed to explore the correlation between frailty and PONV in thyroid cancer patients. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 908 patients who underwent radical thyroid cancer surgery at Jinan Central Hospital between January 2016 and September 2022. Patients were classified into the PONV group (626 patients) and the non-PONV group (282 patients). General and clinical data were collected for comparison. Independent risk factors for PONV were identified using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. ROC curves evaluated the diagnostic efficiency of various indicators. A predictive model for PONV risk factors was developed, verified using ROC curves, and a scoring system was established. Age, Apfel score, modified frailty index (mFI) score, free fatty acids, uric acid, homocysteine (HCY), and fasting blood glucose were identified as independent risk factors for PONV through multivariable logistic regression analysis. The model achieved an area under the curve of 0.893 (0.871-0.915) in the ROC curve, with a sensitivity of 83.2%, specificity of 79.1%, and a maximum Youden index value of 0.623. mFI exhibited the strongest correlation with PONV post-radical thyroid cancer surgery, with a correlation coefficient of 0.523. The modified frailty index is a significant predictor of postoperative nausea and vomiting in patients undergoing thyroid cancer surgery.

摘要

术后恶心呕吐(PONV)是甲状腺癌手术后常见的并发症,影响患者的身心健康、预后,并可能导致严重并发症。虚弱是术后并发症的一个关键风险因素,但在甲状腺癌患者PONV方面尚未得到充分研究。本研究旨在探讨甲状腺癌患者虚弱与PONV之间的相关性。对2016年1月至2022年9月在济南中心医院接受甲状腺癌根治术的908例患者进行回顾性分析。将患者分为PONV组(626例)和非PONV组(282例)。收集一般资料和临床资料进行比较。采用单因素和多因素logistic回归分析确定PONV的独立危险因素。ROC曲线评估各项指标的诊断效能。建立PONV危险因素预测模型,用ROC曲线进行验证,并建立评分系统。通过多因素logistic回归分析,确定年龄、Apfel评分、改良虚弱指数(mFI)评分、游离脂肪酸、尿酸、同型半胱氨酸(HCY)和空腹血糖为PONV的独立危险因素。该模型在ROC曲线下面积为0.893(0.871 - 0.915),灵敏度为83.2%,特异度为79.1%,最大约登指数值为0.623。mFI与甲状腺癌根治术后PONV的相关性最强,相关系数为0.523。改良虚弱指数是甲状腺癌手术患者术后恶心呕吐的重要预测指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2502/11688103/dd78bbb5c280/medi-103-e41131-g001.jpg

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