Huo Jiang, Song Yuxiang, Lu Jing, Dou Guijin, Chen Huixian, Mi Weidong, Yu Yingqun, Liu Yanhong
Department of Anaesthesiology, The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, 100853, China.
Department of Anaesthesiology, The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, 100071, China.
BMC Geriatr. 2025 Mar 3;25(1):142. doi: 10.1186/s12877-025-05714-1.
The purpose of this research was to evaluate the prognostic significance of preoperative albumin to fibrinogen (AFR) for postoperative delirium (POD) in older patients with non-neurosurgical and non-cardiac surgery.
The retrospective cohort study included a group of patients aged 65 and above who underwent non-neurosurgical and non-cardiac surgery at the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2014 to December 2021. AFR and POD correlation was evaluated through univariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis, as well as propensity score matching (PSM) and subgroup analysis.
In our study, the occurrence of POD was 2.9% (1566/53,609), with the AFR threshold identified as 10.625 based on the ROC curve. The study identified AFR ≤ 10.625 as a significant predictor of POD in both univariate and multivariable regression analyses, and the odds ratios (OR) were 2.65 (2.40-2.93), 1.98 (1.79-2.21), 1.51 (1.34-1.70), 1.27 (1.13-1.43) and 1.32 (1.14-1.53) in four models and the PSM model.
AFR is a valuable predictor for predicting the development of POD in older patients receiving non-neurosurgical and non-cardiac procedures. This finding highlights the importance of preoperative assessment of AFR in these patients to better predict and manage the risk of POD.
本研究旨在评估术前白蛋白与纤维蛋白原比值(AFR)对非神经外科和非心脏手术老年患者术后谵妄(POD)的预后意义。
这项回顾性队列研究纳入了2014年1月至2021年12月在中国人民解放军总医院第一医学中心接受非神经外科和非心脏手术的65岁及以上患者。通过单因素和多因素逻辑回归分析、倾向得分匹配(PSM)和亚组分析评估AFR与POD的相关性。
在我们的研究中,POD的发生率为2.9%(1566/53609),根据ROC曲线确定AFR阈值为10.625。该研究在单因素和多因素回归分析中均确定AFR≤10.625是POD的重要预测因素,四个模型和PSM模型中的比值比(OR)分别为2.65(2.40 - 2.93)、1.98(1.79 - 2.21)、1.51(1.34 - 1.70)、1.27(1.13 - 1.43)和1.32(1.14 - 1.53)。
AFR是预测接受非神经外科和非心脏手术老年患者发生POD的有价值指标。这一发现凸显了术前评估AFR在这些患者中的重要性,以便更好地预测和管理POD风险。