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童年逆境轨迹与成年早期未接受教育、就业或培训:丹麦生命历程队列研究(DANLIFE)

Childhood adversity trajectories and not being in education, employment, or training during early adulthood: The Danish life course cohort (DANLIFE).

作者信息

Elsenburg Leonie K, Kreshpaj Bertina, Andersen Signe Hald, de Vries Tjeerd Rudmer, Thielen Karsten, Rod Naja Hulvej

机构信息

Copenhagen Health Complexity Center, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Copenhagen Health Complexity Center, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.

出版信息

Soc Sci Med. 2025 Apr;371:117841. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2025.117841. Epub 2025 Feb 11.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Single and cumulative childhood adversities have been associated with not being in education, employment, or training (NEET) in early adulthood, but associations with more comprehensive childhood adversity measures incorporating clustering of adversities in different dimensions (material, health and family) remain to be examined.

METHODS

Data from the Danish register-based DANLIFE study are used. Individuals were divided over five groups of childhood adversity from 0 to 15 years. Longer-term NEET in early adulthood (16-29 years) was defined as: 1) being NEET in two consecutive years (n = 1,276,051) and 2) clusters of NEET status over age (n = 576,570) derived through sequence analysis. Relative risks and differences were examined using binomial regressions adjusted for parental origin, maternal age, and birth year.

RESULTS

The percentage of individuals in NEET in two consecutive years was 8.2% in the low adversity group, and 16.2% and 23.3% in the early life and persistent material deprivation groups, 18.9% in the loss or threat of loss group, and 44.9% in the high adversity group. Being in any of the childhood adversity groups, compared with the low adversity group, was associated with higher risks of being in longer-term NEET. For example, in the high adversity group, there were 35 additional individuals in NEET in two consecutive years per 100 individuals in adjusted analyses.

CONCLUSION

Childhood adversity is strongly associated with the risk of being longer-term NEET in early adulthood. Interventions are warranted as obtaining educational qualifications or employment in early adulthood is of critical importance for future labor market participation.

摘要

背景

童年时期的单一和累积逆境与成年早期未接受教育、就业或培训(NEET)有关,但与纳入不同维度(物质、健康和家庭)逆境聚类的更全面童年逆境测量方法之间的关联仍有待研究。

方法

使用来自丹麦基于登记册的DANLIFE研究的数据。个体被分为0至15岁的五组童年逆境。成年早期(16 - 29岁)的长期NEET被定义为:1)连续两年处于NEET状态(n = 1,276,051),以及2)通过序列分析得出的不同年龄段的NEET状态聚类(n = 576,570)。使用针对父母出身、母亲年龄和出生年份进行调整的二项式回归来检验相对风险和差异。

结果

低逆境组中连续两年处于NEET状态的个体百分比为8.2%,早期生活和持续物质匮乏组中为16.2%和23.3%,丧失或面临丧失风险组中为18.9%,高逆境组中为44.9%。与低逆境组相比,处于任何童年逆境组都与长期处于NEET状态的更高风险相关。例如,在高逆境组中,调整分析后每100人中连续两年处于NEET状态的个体多35人。

结论

童年逆境与成年早期长期处于NEET状态的风险密切相关。鉴于在成年早期获得教育资格或就业对未来劳动力市场参与至关重要,有必要进行干预。

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