Liu Xiaoyi, Zhang Fan, Qiao Jinping, He Wentao
Department of Clinical Nutrition, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui 230001, China.
Department of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui 230001, China.
J Infect Dev Ctries. 2025 Feb 28;19(2):273-279. doi: 10.3855/jidc.19939.
Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging infectious disease with a high mortality rate and is a public health concern. This study aimed to investigate the associations of serum interleukin 6 (IL-6) and interleukin 10 (IL-10) levels with the prognosis of SFTS patients.
A total of 95 patients with confirmed SFTS were included. Clinical and laboratory data were compared between the survival and non-survival groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess independent risk factors for mortality. The predictive efficacies of laboratory markers were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan‒Meier curves based on the log-rank test.
The levels of IL-6 and IL-10 at admission were significantly greater in the non-survival group than in the survival group (p < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that the IL-6 and IL-10 levels, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) were independent risk factors for a poor prognosis in patients with SFTS. ROC curve analysis revealed that the IL-6 and IL-10 levels and the APTT had a greater predictive value than other measured laboratory markers. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated that SFTS patients with IL-6 > 39.5 pg/mL or IL-10 > 45.2 pg/mL had significantly lower survival within a 30-day follow-up period.
The levels of IL-6 and IL-10 at admission are the best markers for predicting in-hospital mortality of SFTS patients and have potential prognostic value in patients with SFTS.
发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)是一种新出现的、死亡率高的传染病,是一个公共卫生问题。本研究旨在探讨血清白细胞介素6(IL-6)和白细胞介素10(IL-10)水平与SFTS患者预后的相关性。
共纳入95例确诊为SFTS的患者。比较生存组和非生存组的临床和实验室数据。采用多因素logistic回归分析评估死亡的独立危险因素。使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估实验室指标的预测效能。基于对数秩检验,采用Kaplan-Meier曲线进行生存分析。
非生存组入院时IL-6和IL-10水平显著高于生存组(p<0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析表明,IL-6和IL-10水平、估算肾小球滤过率及活化部分凝血活酶时间(APTT)是SFTS患者预后不良的独立危险因素。ROC曲线分析显示,IL-6和IL-10水平及APTT比其他检测到的实验室指标具有更大的预测价值。Kaplan-Meier生存分析表明,IL-6>39.5 pg/mL或IL-10>45.2 pg/mL的SFTS患者在30天随访期内的生存率显著较低。
入院时IL-6和IL-10水平是预测SFTS患者院内死亡率的最佳指标,对SFTS患者具有潜在的预后价值。