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可持续发展的福音?数字经济、旅游发展与生态效率耦合协调的时空演变及组态路径

The gospel of sustainable development? Spatiotemporal evolution and configuration pathways of the coupling coordination of the digital economy, tourism development and eco-efficiency.

作者信息

Wu Zhicai, Xie Jialiang

机构信息

Department of Tourism Management, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; Key Laboratory of Digital Village and Sustainable Development of Culture and Tourism, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; Guangdong Tourism Strategy and Policy Research Center, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2025 Apr;380:124903. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124903. Epub 2025 Mar 12.

Abstract

Strengthening the interaction of the digital economy (DE), tourism development (TD), and eco-efficiency (EE) is essential for reaching the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), yet gaps exist in the existing research. This paper utilizes data from 30 Chinese provinces spanning 2000 to 2021, constructs an analytical framework for the coupling coordination of DE-TD-EE (CCDTE) and innovatively combines exploratory spatiotemporal data analysis (ESTDA) with dynamic qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics and configuration pathways of CCDTE. The results showed that: (1) DE and TD show an increasing trend, whereas EE initially decreases before increasing. CCDTE shows gradually improvement, exhibiting significant positive spatial correlations and a regional pattern of "eastern > central > western". (2) CCDTE demonstrates notable transfer inertia and path locking, making it difficult for provinces to alter their relative positions. The local spatial structures and dependency directions in the eastern region exhibit greater volatility, whereas those in the middle and western regions maintain relative stability. (3) High CCDTE is not driven by a single factor; instead, it is caused by four configuration paths, namely, green innovation-driven, industrial structure-driven, green innovation-human capital-driven, and green innovation-industrial structure-driven. The explanatory power of these paths has gradually strengthened, with the eastern region showing greater influence. This study provides policymakers with new theoretical perspectives and empirical evidence with which to promote sustainable tourism and enhance environmental quality through digital transformation, thereby facilitating the expedited attainment of the SDGs.

摘要

加强数字经济(DE)、旅游业发展(TD)和生态效率(EE)之间的互动对于实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)至关重要,但现有研究存在差距。本文利用2000年至2021年中国30个省份的数据,构建了数字经济-旅游业发展-生态效率耦合协调(CCDTE)的分析框架,并创新性地将探索性时空数据分析(ESTDA)与动态定性比较分析(QCA)相结合,以研究CCDTE的时空动态和配置路径。结果表明:(1)数字经济和旅游业发展呈上升趋势,而生态效率先下降后上升。CCDTE逐渐改善,呈现出显著的正空间相关性和“东部>中部>西部”的区域格局。(2)CCDTE表现出显著的转移惯性和路径锁定,各省难以改变其相对位置。东部地区的局部空间结构和依赖方向波动较大,而中部和西部地区则保持相对稳定。(3)高CCDTE并非由单一因素驱动;相反,它由四条配置路径导致,即绿色创新驱动、产业结构驱动、绿色创新-人力资本驱动和绿色创新-产业结构驱动。这些路径的解释力逐渐增强,东部地区的影响更大。本研究为政策制定者提供了新的理论视角和实证证据,以便通过数字转型促进可持续旅游并提高环境质量,从而推动更快实现可持续发展目标。

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