Aung Ye Kyaw, Zhang Ye, Jenkins Mark A, Win Aung Ko
Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
Familial Cancer Centre, Genetic Medicine, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
JNCI Cancer Spectr. 2025 Apr 30;9(3). doi: 10.1093/jncics/pkaf031.
Colorectal cancer survivors face increased risks of developing new primary cancers in colorectum and other anatomical sites. This systematic review aimed to estimate primary colorectal and extracolonic cancers risks following colorectal cancer.
Peer-reviewed articles published before January 2025 were screened across 4 databases to identify studies using population cancer registry reporting standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of primary cancers following colorectal cancer, compared with the general population. A meta-analysis was conducted to summarize the SIRs, and age-specific cumulative risks of primary cancers following colorectal cancer were estimated using the summarized SIRs and age-, sex-, calendar-, region-, and cancer-specific incidence data.
Of 8254 articles identified, 57 were included in meta-analysis. The pooled SIRs (95% confidence interval) for any primary cancer, extracolonic cancer and colorectal cancer were 1.13 (1.06 to 1.20), 1.10 (1.03 to 1.17), and 1.55 (1.33 to 1.77), respectively. Increased risks were also observed for primary cancers of small intestine, ovary, uterus, testes, kidney, female breast, thyroid, and prostate overall, as well as for lung and urinary bladder cancer in recent studies. The cumulative risks of any primary cancer, extracolonic cancer, and colorectal cancer to age 75 years were 38.5%, 31.6%, and 8.24% in Australasia; 33.8%, 30.9%, and 4.77% in North America; 27.4%, 25.6%, and 8.01% in East Asia; and 33.4%, 28.8%, and 4.68% in Europe.
Colorectal cancer survivors have an increased risk of subsequent primary cancers, both extracolonic and colorectal, when compared with the general population. These findings underscore the necessity for tailored surveillance and prevention strategies to effectively identify and manage subsequent primary cancers in this population.
结直肠癌幸存者患结直肠及其他解剖部位新发原发性癌症的风险增加。本系统评价旨在评估结直肠癌后原发性结直肠癌和结外癌症的风险。
检索了4个数据库中截至2025年1月发表的同行评审文章,以确定使用人群癌症登记处报告结直肠癌后原发性癌症标准化发病比(SIR)的研究,并与普通人群进行比较。进行荟萃分析以总结SIR,并使用汇总的SIR以及年龄、性别、日历、地区和癌症特异性发病率数据估计结直肠癌后原发性癌症的年龄特异性累积风险。
在确定的8254篇文章中,57篇纳入荟萃分析。任何原发性癌症、结外癌症和结直肠癌的合并SIR(95%置信区间)分别为1.13(1.06至1.20)、1.10(1.03至1.17)和1.55(1.33至1.77)。总体而言,小肠、卵巢、子宫、睾丸、肾脏、女性乳腺、甲状腺和前列腺的原发性癌症风险也有所增加,近期研究中肺癌和膀胱癌的风险也有所增加。在大洋洲,至75岁时任何原发性癌症、结外癌症和结直肠癌的累积风险分别为38.5%、31.6%和8.24%;在北美分别为33.8%、30.9%和4.77%;在东亚分别为27.4%、25.6%和8.01%;在欧洲分别为33.4%、28.8%和4.68%。
与普通人群相比,结直肠癌幸存者发生后续原发性癌症(包括结外和结直肠)的风险增加。这些发现强调了制定针对性监测和预防策略的必要性,以有效识别和管理该人群中的后续原发性癌症。