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中国油气甲烷排放的结构变化及其对减排努力的影响。

Structural shifts in China's oil and gas CH emissions with implications for mitigation efforts.

作者信息

Luo Junjun, Wang Helan, Li Hui, Zheng Bo

机构信息

Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Ecological Remediation and Carbon Sequestration, Institute of Environment and Ecology, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, 518055, China.

State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex, Beijing, 100084, China.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2025 Mar 25;16(1):2926. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-58237-z.

DOI:10.1038/s41467-025-58237-z
PMID:40133280
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11937328/
Abstract

Methane (CH) is a potent and short-lived climate pollutant, with the oil and gas sectors emerging as an important contributor. China exhibited a substantial expansion of oil and gas infrastructures over recent years, but the CH emission accounting tends to be incomplete and uncertain. Here, we construct a CH emission database of China's oil and gas systems from 1990-2022 with 80% of emissions tracked as refineries, facilities, pipelines, and field sources. Results show that China's oil and gas CH emissions have risen from 0.5[0.5-0.6] TgCH yr in 1990 to 4.0[3.7-4.4] TgCH yr in 2022, primarily driven by the growing demand for natural gas during the energy transition. The spatial details provided are critical for characterizing emission hotspots, especially in unconventional gas production fields and densely populated eastern regions. This long-time series and spatially explicit CH emission database can contribute to informed policy decisions and swift climate action.

摘要

甲烷(CH₄)是一种强效且短期存在的气候污染物,石油和天然气行业已成为其重要排放源。近年来,中国的油气基础设施大幅扩张,但甲烷排放核算往往不完整且存在不确定性。在此,我们构建了一个1990年至2022年中国油气系统的甲烷排放数据库,80%的排放被追踪到炼油厂、设施、管道和油田源头。结果表明,中国油气甲烷排放量已从1990年的0.5[0.5 - 0.6]太克甲烷/年升至2022年的4.0[3.7 - 4.4]太克甲烷/年,这主要是由能源转型期间对天然气不断增长的需求所驱动。所提供的空间细节对于确定排放热点至关重要,特别是在非常规天然气生产领域和人口密集的东部地区。这个长期序列且空间明确的甲烷排放数据库有助于做出明智的政策决策并迅速采取气候行动。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/8f144b0fc713/41467_2025_58237_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/825755826c18/41467_2025_58237_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/90794735b661/41467_2025_58237_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/2f93d05ffdc6/41467_2025_58237_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/dddbf6997956/41467_2025_58237_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/8f144b0fc713/41467_2025_58237_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/825755826c18/41467_2025_58237_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/90794735b661/41467_2025_58237_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/2f93d05ffdc6/41467_2025_58237_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/dddbf6997956/41467_2025_58237_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7ea4/11937328/8f144b0fc713/41467_2025_58237_Fig5_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Agricultural Methane Emissions in China: Inventories, Driving Forces and Mitigation Strategies.中国农业甲烷排放:清单、驱动力与减排策略。
Environ Sci Technol. 2023 Sep 12;57(36):13292-13303. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.3c04209. Epub 2023 Aug 30.
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An inventory of greenhouse gas emissions due to natural gas pipeline incidents in the United States and Canada from 1980s to 2021.美国和加拿大 1980 年代至 2021 年天然气管道事故导致的温室气体排放清单。
Sci Data. 2023 May 13;10(1):282. doi: 10.1038/s41597-023-02177-0.
3
Recent Advances Toward Transparent Methane Emissions Monitoring: A Review.
甲烷排放透明监测的最新进展:综述。
Environ Sci Technol. 2022 Dec 6;56(23):16567-16581. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.2c02136. Epub 2022 Nov 23.
4
Observed changes in China's methane emissions linked to policy drivers.观测到中国甲烷排放变化与政策驱动因素有关。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Oct 11;119(41):e2202742119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2202742119. Epub 2022 Oct 3.
5
Inefficient and unlit natural gas flares both emit large quantities of methane.低效且无照明的天然气燃烧不仅会排放大量甲烷。
Science. 2022 Sep 30;377(6614):1566-1571. doi: 10.1126/science.abq0385. Epub 2022 Sep 29.
6
Strong methane point sources contribute a disproportionate fraction of total emissions across multiple basins in the United States.在美国的多个流域中,强甲烷点源对总排放量的贡献不成比例。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Sep 20;119(38):e2202338119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2202338119. Epub 2022 Sep 13.
7
Global assessment of oil and gas methane ultra-emitters.全球油气甲烷超大排放源评估。
Science. 2022 Feb 4;375(6580):557-561. doi: 10.1126/science.abj4351. Epub 2022 Feb 3.
8
Methane removal seen as tool to slow warming.甲烷去除被视为减缓气候变暖的工具。
Science. 2021 Nov 5;374(6568):667-668. doi: 10.1126/science.acx9535. Epub 2021 Nov 4.
9
Why are methane emissions from China's oil & natural gas systems still unclear? A review of current bottom-up inventories.为什么中国的石油和天然气系统的甲烷排放仍不清楚?当前自下而上清单的回顾。
Sci Total Environ. 2022 Feb 10;807(Pt 3):151076. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151076. Epub 2021 Oct 19.
10
Control methane to slow global warming - fast.迅速控制甲烷排放以减缓全球变暖。
Nature. 2021 Aug;596(7873):461. doi: 10.1038/d41586-021-02287-y.