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城市地铁建设坍塌灾害链分析及断链减灾研究

Analysis of urban subway construction collapse disaster chain and research on chain breaking and disaster reduction.

作者信息

Zhang Ying, Gu Yingying, Lian Ningning, Peng Lei, Hao Yu, Wang Wei, Tian Rumeng

机构信息

School of Emergency Management, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo, Henan, China.

Safety and Emergency Management Research Center, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo, Henan, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Mar 26;20(3):e0318269. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0318269. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

In recent years, China 's major cities set off a climax of subway construction, but also brought an endless stream of safety accidents. In order to analyze the impact of the evolution process of urban subway construction collapse disaster on residents ' life and social economy, by collecting typical cases of subway construction collapse disaster, combined with disaster chain and complex network theory, the network model of subway construction collapse disaster chain is constructed, and the key node events and key propagation paths are analyzed. Based on this, targeted chain-breaking disaster reduction measures are proposed. The results show: the collapse disaster chain of urban subway construction can be divided into early, middle and late stages of disaster evolution. Through the destruction of collapse, underground pipeline rupture, road damage, affecting the lives of residents and building damage and other key nodes or cut off the collapse →  underground pipeline rupture, road damage →  traffic paralysis, collapse →  building damage, construction technology is not standardized →  collapse, construction equipment failure →  collapse and other key effects are significant. The relevant research results can provide a knowledge map for effectively coping with the collapse disaster chain of urban subway construction, identify key nodes and propagation paths, and establish strategies for emergency response and chain-breaking disaster reduction.

摘要

近年来,中国各大城市掀起了地铁建设高潮,但同时也带来了层出不穷的安全事故。为分析城市地铁建设坍塌灾害演化过程对居民生活和社会经济的影响,通过收集地铁建设坍塌灾害典型案例,结合灾害链和复杂网络理论,构建地铁建设坍塌灾害链网络模型,分析关键节点事件和关键传播路径。在此基础上,提出针对性的断链减灾措施。结果表明:城市地铁建设坍塌灾害链可分为灾害演化的早期、中期和后期。通过破坏坍塌、地下管线破裂、道路损坏、影响居民生活和建筑物损坏等关键节点或切断坍塌→地下管线破裂、道路损坏→交通瘫痪,坍塌→建筑物损坏,施工技术不规范→坍塌,施工设备故障→坍塌等关键作用显著。相关研究成果可为有效应对城市地铁建设坍塌灾害链提供知识图谱,识别关键节点和传播路径,建立应急响应和断链减灾策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fa7f/11940568/fdac1f3a2cab/pone.0318269.g001.jpg

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