Breslow N E, Storer B E
Am J Epidemiol. 1985 Jul;122(1):149-62. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114074.
While multiplicative (log-linear and logistic) models have a firmly established place in epidemiologic methodology, additive and other more general model structures are needed also. The authors propose a parametric family of relative risk functions ranging from subadditive to supramultiplicative that is generated by varying the exponent in a power transform for the log relative risk. The choice of model is facilitated by graphic analysis of goodness-of-fit statistics computed for various values of the exponent. Intermediate quantities available as by-products of the fit are useful for checking the influence of particular observations on the estimated regression coefficients. Three examples illustrate the applications of these methods to random, stratified, and matched samples of cases and controls. Computer software is available for each of these situations. Even though different relative risk models may have markedly different implications for the multifactorial nature of the disease process, it may be difficult to distinguish between them unless the data are quite extensive.
虽然乘法(对数线性和逻辑)模型在流行病学方法中占据着稳固的地位,但加法模型和其他更通用的模型结构同样不可或缺。作者提出了一族相对风险函数的参数模型,范围从次可加性到超可乘性,通过改变对数相对风险的幂变换中的指数来生成。通过对不同指数值计算的拟合优度统计量进行图形分析,有助于模型的选择。拟合过程中作为副产品得到的中间量,对于检查特定观测值对估计回归系数的影响很有用。三个例子说明了这些方法在病例和对照的随机、分层及匹配样本中的应用。针对每种情况都有相应的计算机软件。尽管不同的相对风险模型对于疾病过程的多因素性质可能有显著不同的含义,但除非数据非常丰富,否则可能很难区分它们。