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直接胆红素与高密度脂蛋白胆固醇比值在扩张型心肌病患者中的预后意义

The Prognostic Significance of the DBIL/HDLC Ratio in Patients With Dilated Cardiomyopathy.

作者信息

Wang Xinyi, Song Qiqi, Zhang Qingqing, Li Xinyi, Wang Jiaqi, Gong Jiantao, Zhang Ziyi, Tan Ning, Tsang Suk-Ying, Wong Wing-Tak, Ma Dunliang, Jiang Lei

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.

School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, China.

出版信息

Cardiovasc Ther. 2025 Feb 15;2025:8835736. doi: 10.1155/cdr/8835736. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

In cardiovascular pathology, both direct bilirubin (DBIL) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLC) have been associated with adverse clinical outcomes. However, the prognostic significance of these biomarkers in the context of dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) remains unclear. To address this gap, this study conducted a retrospective analysis to evaluate the prognostic value of the DBIL/HDLC ratio in patients diagnosed with DCM. A total of 986 consecutive DCM patients were retrospectively enrolled from January 2010 to December 2019 and divided into two groups based on the DBIL/HDLC ratio cut-off value: ≤ 4.45 ( = 483) and > 4.45 ( = 503). Patients with lower DBIL/HDLC (≤ 4.45) experienced lower in-hospital mortality, long-term mortality, and major adverse clinical events (MACEs) (0.8%, 32.9%, and 12.2%, respectively) compared to those with higher DBIL/HDLC (> 4.45) (6.4%, 59.1%, and 16.7%, respectively). Multivariate analysis identified DBIL/HDLC as an independent risk factor for long-term mortality (odds ratio: 1.026; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.005-1.048; = 0.016) and all-cause mortality over a median follow-up of 67 ± 1.8 months (hazard ratio: 1.011; 95% CI: 1.005-1.018; < 0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curve showed good discrimination for long-term mortality (area under the curve (AUC): 0.675; 95% CI: 0.692-0.708; < 0.001). The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated a better prognosis for patients with DBIL/HDLC ≤ 4.45 (log-rank = 40.356, < 0.001). Furthermore, the impact of additional variables on the results was investigated by a subgroup analysis. The DBIL/HDLC ratio could serve as a simple and cost-effective tool for evaluating prognosis in DCM.

摘要

在心血管病理学中,直接胆红素(DBIL)和高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(HDLC)均与不良临床结局相关。然而,这些生物标志物在扩张型心肌病(DCM)背景下的预后意义仍不明确。为填补这一空白,本研究进行了一项回顾性分析,以评估DBIL/HDLC比值在DCM患者中的预后价值。从2010年1月至2019年12月,共回顾性纳入了986例连续的DCM患者,并根据DBIL/HDLC比值临界值将其分为两组:≤4.45(n = 483)和>4.45(n = 503)。与DBIL/HDLC较高(>4.45)的患者(分别为6.4%、59.1%和16.7%)相比,DBIL/HDLC较低(≤4.45)的患者住院死亡率、长期死亡率和主要不良临床事件(MACE)发生率较低(分别为0.8%、32.9%和12.2%)。多因素分析确定DBIL/HDLC是长期死亡率的独立危险因素(比值比:1.026;95%置信区间(CI):1.005 - 1.048;P = 0.016),并且在中位随访67±1.8个月时是全因死亡率的独立危险因素(风险比:1.011;95%CI:1.005 - 1.018;P < 0.001)。受试者工作特征曲线显示对长期死亡率具有良好的区分能力(曲线下面积(AUC):0.675;95%CI:0.692 - 0.708;P < 0.001)。Kaplan - Meier生存分析表明DBIL/HDLC≤4.45的患者预后较好(对数秩检验χ² = 40.356,P < 0.001)。此外,通过亚组分析研究了其他变量对结果的影响。DBIL/HDLC比值可作为评估DCM预后的一种简单且经济有效的工具。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/14b7/11961277/3431111cf1af/CDTP2025-8835736.001.jpg

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