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尽管海洋热浪威胁不断加剧,但全球漂浮海带森林受到的保护却很有限。

Global floating kelp forests have limited protection despite intensifying marine heatwave threats.

作者信息

Arafeh-Dalmau Nur, Villaseñor-Derbez Juan Carlos, Schoeman David S, Mora-Soto Alejandra, Bell Tom W, Butler Claire L, Costa Maycira, Dunga Loyiso V, Houskeeper Henry F, Lagger Cristian, Pantano Carolina, Del Pozo Daniela Laínez, Sink Kerry J, Sletten Jennifer, Vincent Timothe, Micheli Fiorenza, Cavanaugh Kyle C

机构信息

Oceans Department, Hopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, Pacific Grove, California, USA.

Department of Geography, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2025 Apr 3;16(1):3173. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-58054-4.

Abstract

Kelp forests are one of the earth's most productive ecosystems and are at great risk from climate change, yet little is known regarding their current conservation status and global future threats. Here, by combining a global remote sensing dataset of floating kelp forests with climate data and projections, we find that exposure to projected marine heatwaves will increase ~6 to ~16 times in the long term (2081-2100) compared to contemporary (2001-2020) exposure. While exposure will intensify across all regions, some southern hemisphere areas which have lower exposure to contemporary and projected marine heatwaves may provide climate refugia for floating kelp forests. Under these escalating threats, less than 3% of global floating kelp forests are currently within highly restrictive marine protected areas (MPAs), the most effective MPAs for protecting biodiversity. Our findings emphasize the urgent need to increase the global protection of floating kelp forests and set bolder climate adaptation goals.

摘要

海带森林是地球上生产力最高的生态系统之一,面临着气候变化带来的巨大风险,但人们对其当前的保护状况和全球未来威胁知之甚少。在这里,通过将全球漂浮海带森林遥感数据集与气候数据及预测相结合,我们发现,与当代(2001 - 2020年)相比,长期(2081 - 2100年)暴露于预计的海洋热浪中的情况将增加约6至16倍。虽然所有地区的暴露程度都会加剧,但一些当代和预计海洋热浪暴露程度较低的南半球地区可能为漂浮海带森林提供气候避难所。在这些不断升级的威胁下,目前全球不到3%的漂浮海带森林位于高度限制的海洋保护区内,而这些保护区是保护生物多样性最有效的区域。我们的研究结果强调了迫切需要加强全球对漂浮海带森林的保护,并设定更大胆的气候适应目标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c6e8/11968876/efd10c88a1f6/41467_2025_58054_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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