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中国新疆和田河流域绿洲地下水氟化物的空间分布及健康风险评估

Spatial distribution and health risk assessment of fluoride in groundwater in the oasis of the Hotan river basin in Xinjiang, China.

作者信息

Li Ling, Ma Long, Pan Zhilin, Xu Juan, Chen Fei, Yang Changde, Yin Yidan

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Coal Resources Green Mining, Ministry of Education, Xinjiang Institute of Engineering, Urumgi, 830023, China.

Xinjiang Water Conservancy and Hydropower Survey Design Institute CO., LTD, Urumgi, 830063, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 4;15(1):11630. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-96583-6.

Abstract

High fluoride groundwater is a global environmental and public health issue. To explore the effects of fluoride in groundwater in the oasis of the Hotan River Basin in Xinjiang on human health, this study analyzed the content and spatial distribution of fluoride in groundwater. Moreover, health risk assessment was performed using the Monte Carlo method based on the Unite States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) model. The results revealed that the groundwater in the Hotan River Basin oasis has an average F content of 1.04 mg·L, with an exceedance rate of 35.2%. High-fluoride groundwater is typically characterized by a high HCO content, low Ca content relative to Mg content, and the presence of hydrochemical types of Cl·HCO-Na and HCO-Na. The hazard quotient (HQ) of fluoride in groundwater > 1 for children and adults in Lop County, Karakax County, and Hotan city and for children in Hotan County. In the study area, the 1-95% quantile certainty of HQ is greater for children (58.30-38.74%) than for adults (52.65-28.26%). Therefore, most residents in the oasis are exposed to the nononcogenic health risks of fluoride in groundwater via the water drinking pathway, with children being highly sensitive. The fluoride content of groundwater in the study area significantly influences the nononcogenic health risk assessment for residents, with a variance contribution rate of 87.8-94.3%. Therefore, reducing the fluoride content in groundwater should be prioritized in decision-making regarding the safety of drinking water in the oasis.

摘要

高氟地下水是一个全球性的环境与公共卫生问题。为探究新疆和田河流域绿洲地区地下水中氟对人体健康的影响,本研究分析了地下水中氟的含量及空间分布。此外,基于美国环境保护局(USEPA)模型,采用蒙特卡罗方法进行了健康风险评估。结果表明,和田河流域绿洲地区地下水的氟平均含量为1.04mg·L,超标率为35.2%。高氟地下水的典型特征是碳酸氢根含量高、钙含量相对于镁含量低,以及存在Cl·HCO-Na和HCO-Na水化学类型。洛浦县、策勒县、和田市的儿童及成人以及和田县的儿童,其地下水中氟的危害商(HQ)>1。在研究区域内,儿童的HQ的1-95%分位数确定性(58.30-38.74%)高于成人(52.65-28.26%)。因此,绿洲地区的大多数居民通过饮水途径面临地下水中氟的非致癌健康风险,儿童对此高度敏感。研究区域地下水中的氟含量对居民的非致癌健康风险评估有显著影响,方差贡献率为87.8-94.3%。因此,在绿洲地区饮用水安全决策中应优先考虑降低地下水中的氟含量。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d784/11971465/a9008f40b554/41598_2025_96583_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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