Lu Linhai, Liu Zhenghao, Zhang Hanwen, Wu Chaojun, Sun Jiecheng, Ma Xianfeng, Zhou Dingyi, Han Han, Zhang Haojin, Li Rui
Ji'nan Communications Development & Investment Co., Ltd., Jinan, 250101, China.
Department of Geotechnical Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200092, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 10;15(1):12293. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-96305-y.
This study provides a comprehensive analysis of seismic activity and structural characteristics in Shandong Province, China, with a focus on identifying seismic belts and potential epicentral zones critical for regional seismic safety. A detailed database was developed, integrating regional seismicity statistics, earthquake distribution patterns, significant geotectonic movements, and recent neotectonic activities. The results reveal that seismic activity in Shandong is heterogeneously distributed, with moderate to strong earthquakes predominantly associated with active fault zones and exhibiting zonal clustering. Earthquakes are generally shallow, occurring within the middle to upper crust, with historical destructive events averaging a focal depth of 19 km, while recent minor seismic events average 14.9 km in depth. These activities span North China Plain and Tan-Lu Seismic Statistical Areas. Projections indicate sustained or heightened seismic activity over the next century, with the potential for earthquakes up to magnitude 5. The geological framework is dominated by Luxi Fault Block and Tan-Lu Fault Zone, characterized by episodic uplift and subsidence driven by neotectonic movements. The prevailing horizontal tectonic stress regime supports the likelihood of strike-slip faulting as the predominant mechanism.
本研究对中国山东省的地震活动和构造特征进行了全面分析,重点是识别对区域地震安全至关重要的地震带和潜在震中区域。开发了一个详细的数据库,整合了区域地震活动性统计数据、地震分布模式、重大大地构造运动和近期新构造活动。结果表明,山东的地震活动分布不均,中强地震主要与活动断裂带相关,并呈现带状聚集。地震一般较浅,发生在上地壳中部,历史上的破坏性地震平均震源深度为19公里,而近期的小地震平均震源深度为14.9公里。这些活动跨越华北平原和郯庐地震统计区。预测表明,下个世纪地震活动将持续或增强,有可能发生震级达5级的地震。地质构造以鲁西断块和郯庐断裂带为主,其特征是新构造运动驱动的间歇性隆升和沉降。主要的水平构造应力状态表明,走滑断层作用很可能是主要机制。