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脑出血患者估计血浆容量状态与30天死亡率和1年死亡率的关联:一项关于MIMIC-IV数据库和医院信息系统的研究

Associations of estimated plasma volume status with 30-day mortality and 1-year mortality in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage: a study of the MIMIC-IV database and the hospital information system.

作者信息

Shen Yongze, Shen Yingjie, Wang Yaolou, Hu Renjie, Xu Hangjia, Feng Yuyang, Yang Yang, Zhang Xiangtong, Liang Hongsheng

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.

出版信息

Front Neurol. 2025 Apr 1;16:1548064. doi: 10.3389/fneur.2025.1548064. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

AIM

This study aims to investigated the associations between estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) and 30-day and 1-year mortality in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients, providing insights into the management in ICH.

METHODS

Data of adult ICH patients were extracted from both the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database and the Hospital Information System (HIS) in this retrospective cohort study. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, and restricted cubic spline plots (RCS) were conducted to explore the associations between ePVS levels and both 30-day and 1-year mortality, with hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) used for evaluation. Subgroup analyses were performed to further investigate these associations.

RESULTS

Among 2,512 eligible patients from the MIMIC-IV database, 655 (26.07%) died within 30 days, with 1,254 (49.92%) had died by the 1-year follow-up. After adjusting for covariates, elevated ePVS was independently associated with both 30-day mortality (HR = 1.05, 95%CI: 1.01-1.09) and 1-year mortality (HR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.06-1.13). Compared to patients with ePVS levels of [4.63-5.79), those with ePVS levels ≥5.79 had a higher risk of 30-day mortality (HR: 1.36, 95%CI: 1.12-1.64) and 1-year mortality (HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.08-1.42). Among 515 eligible patients from the HIS, 132 (25.60%) died within 30 days, with 288 (55.90%) mortality observed at 1-year follow-up. After adjusting for covariates, elevated ePVS was independently associated with both 30-day mortality (HR = 1.33, 95%CI: 1.23-1.43) and 1-year mortality (HR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.18-1.35). Comparing to patients with ePVS levels of [4.63-5.79), those with ePVS levels of ≥5.79 had a higher risk of 30-day mortality (HR:2.21, 95%CI: 1.48-3.30) and 1-year mortality (HR = 2.75, 95% CI: 2.04-3.72). Additionally, subgroup analyses demonstrated that ePVS was significantly associated with 30-day mortality or 1-year mortality derived from MIMIC-IV and HIS in most subgroups ( < 0.05). And RCS analysis indicates that, whether using MIMIC-IV or HIS data, ePVS was linearly associated with 30-day or 1-year mortality.

CONCLUSION

Higher ePVS levels may be a potential risk factor for 30-day and 1-year mortality in ICH patients, suggesting that timely monitoring and stabilization of ePVS could improve prognosis in this population. However, further studies are needed to validate these fingings.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨估计血浆容量状态(ePVS)与脑出血(ICH)患者30天和1年死亡率之间的关联,为ICH的管理提供见解。

方法

在这项回顾性队列研究中,从重症监护医学信息数据库IV(MIMIC-IV)和医院信息系统(HIS)中提取成年ICH患者的数据。进行单因素和多因素Cox回归分析以及限制性立方样条图(RCS),以探讨ePVS水平与30天和1年死亡率之间的关联,使用风险比(HR)和95%置信区间(CI)进行评估。进行亚组分析以进一步研究这些关联。

结果

在MIMIC-IV数据库的2512例符合条件的患者中,655例(26.07%)在30天内死亡,1254例(49.92%)在1年随访时死亡。在调整协变量后,ePVS升高与30天死亡率(HR = 1.05,95%CI:1.01 - 1.09)和1年死亡率(HR = 1.09,95%CI:1.06 - 1.13)均独立相关。与ePVS水平在[4.63 - 5.79)的患者相比,ePVS水平≥5.79的患者30天死亡率(HR:1.36,95%CI:1.12 - 1.64)和1年死亡率(HR = 1.24,95%CI:1.08 - 1.42)风险更高。在HIS的515例符合条件的患者中,132例(25.60%)在30天内死亡,288例(55.90%)在1年随访时死亡。在调整协变量后,ePVS升高与30天死亡率(HR = 1.33,95%CI:1.23 - 1.43)和1年死亡率(HR = 1.26,95%CI:1.18 - 1.35)均独立相关。与ePVS水平在[4.63 - 5.79)的患者相比,ePVS水平≥5.79的患者30天死亡率(HR:2.21,95%CI:1.48 - 3.30)和1年死亡率(HR = 2.75,95%CI:2.04 - 3.72)风险更高。此外,亚组分析表明,在大多数亚组中(P < 0.05),ePVS与来自MIMIC-IV和HIS的30天死亡率或1年死亡率显著相关。RCS分析表明,无论使用MIMIC-IV还是HIS数据,ePVS与30天或1年死亡率均呈线性相关。

结论

较高的ePVS水平可能是ICH患者30天和1年死亡率的潜在危险因素,这表明及时监测和稳定ePVS可改善该人群的预后。然而,需要进一步研究来验证这些发现。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e7ca/11996633/4a5fc7f753b0/fneur-16-1548064-g001.jpg

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