Cao Dongmei, Xu Xiaofan, Guo Ce, Liao Yujia
School of Public Administration, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, 611130, Sichuan Province, China.
The Office of Scientific Research, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan, 430073, Hubei Province, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 19;15(1):13515. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-96626-y.
This paper utilizes 2017 dynamic monitoring data of China's floating population and matches it with air pollution data from 287 prefecture-level cities to construct a Probit model. The study aims to investigate the effects and pathways of air pollution on the settlement intention of floating populations. The research findings are as follows: Firstly, air pollution significantly affects the settlement intention of floating populations, with an increase in air pollution concentration leading to a notable decrease in their intent to reside. Secondly, the impact of air pollution on the settlement intention of floating populations varies based on their personal characteristics and regional features. Those with longer years of residence, higher education levels, and better air quality in their hometowns tend to be more sensitive to air pollution. Thirdly, air pollution reduces the settlement intention of floating populations by affecting their physical health. Further research finds that better healthcare services provided by the government can enhance the willingness of migrant populations to settle in areas with environmental pollution. This study enriches the relevant research on environmental factors' influence on the settlement intention of floating populations, and it provides insights for the government to formulate talent attraction policies from an environmental governance perspective.
本文利用2017年中国流动人口动态监测数据,并将其与287个地级市的空气污染数据进行匹配,构建了Probit模型。该研究旨在探讨空气污染对流动人口定居意愿的影响及途径。研究结果如下:第一,空气污染显著影响流动人口的定居意愿,空气污染浓度增加会导致他们定居意愿显著下降。第二,空气污染对流动人口定居意愿的影响因个人特征和区域特征而异。居住年限较长、教育水平较高以及家乡空气质量较好的人往往对空气污染更为敏感。第三,空气污染通过影响流动人口的身体健康降低其定居意愿。进一步研究发现,政府提供更好的医疗服务可以增强流动人口在环境污染地区定居的意愿。本研究丰富了环境因素对流动人口定居意愿影响的相关研究,并为政府从环境治理角度制定人才吸引政策提供了启示。