Ahmedhussain Huda K, Raffa Lina H, Alosaimif Amal M, Alessa Sarah K, Alharbi Suzan Y, Almarzouki Hashem, AlQurashi Mansour A
From the Department of Ophthalmology (Ahmedhussain, Raffa, Alessa), King Abdulaziz University Hospital, from the Faculty of Medicine (Ahmedhussain, Raffa, Alessa), King Abdulaziz University, from the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology (Alosaimi); from the Department of Ophthalmology (Almarzouki); from the Department of Pediatrics (AlQurashi), Neonatology Division, King Abdulaziz Medical City, from the Department of Ophthalmology (Alharbi), Jeddah Eye Hospital, from the College of Medicine (Almarzouki, AlQurashi), King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, and from King Abdullah International Medical Research Center (Almarzouki, AlQurashi), Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs, Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Med J. 2025 Apr;46(4):345-351. doi: 10.15537/smj.2025.46.4.20240773.
To validate 2 DIGIROP prediction models for retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) type 1 and compare them to other weight-based algorithms in a premature Saudi Arabian infant cohort.
Preterm infants of 24-30 weeks' gestational age (GA) or body weight (BW) of ≤1500g who were admitted to the neonatal units of 2 Jeddah tertiary centers between January 2015 and September 2021 were included (N=363). The DIGIROP-Birth employed the birth GA, gender, birth weight, and age at ROP onset as predictors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with 95% confidence interval, specificity, and sensitivity were projected. The DIGIROP-Screen risk of risk were identified at 6-14 weeks postnatal age (PNA).
The mean GA was 27.94±1.6 weeks and the mean BW was 1068.2±269.2 g. The DIGIROP-Birth had a sensitivity of 93.8%; specificity of 48.9%; AUC of 0.70; and accuracy of 52.9%. For DIGIROP-Screen, the AUC for models spanning PNA 6-14 weeks varied from 0.68-0.83, and sensitivity varied from 73.3-96.8%. The DIGIROP-Birth and DIGIROP-Screen showed the highest accuracy and AUC value in comparison to other ROP prediction models.
The 2 models demonstrated high predictive capacity for type 1 ROP risk assessment in this cohort. The potential of these tools for identifying high-risk infants and avoiding standard ROP screening in low-risk infants needs to be verified through large-scale studies.
验证2种用于1型早产儿视网膜病变(ROP)的DIGIROP预测模型,并在沙特阿拉伯早产儿队列中将它们与其他基于体重的算法进行比较。
纳入2015年1月至2021年9月期间入住吉达2家三级中心新生儿病房的孕周为24 - 30周或体重≤1500g的早产儿(N = 363)。DIGIROP - Birth模型采用出生孕周、性别、出生体重和ROP发病时的年龄作为预测指标。计算受试者操作特征曲线(AUC)下面积及其95%置信区间、特异性和敏感性。DIGIROP - Screen模型在出生后6 - 14周识别风险。
平均孕周为27.94±1.6周,平均体重为1068.2±269.2g。DIGIROP - Birth模型的敏感性为93.8%;特异性为48.9%;AUC为0.70;准确率为52.9%。对于DIGIROP - Screen模型,出生后6 - 14周模型的AUC在0.68 - 0.83之间,敏感性在73.3% - 96.8%之间。与其他ROP预测模型相比,DIGIROP - Birth和DIGIROP - Screen模型显示出最高的准确率和AUC值。
这2种模型在该队列中对1型ROP风险评估具有较高的预测能力。这些工具在识别高危婴儿以及避免对低危婴儿进行标准ROP筛查方面的潜力需要通过大规模研究来验证。