马拉维围产期死亡率的手机调查估计:来自截断妊娠史和完整妊娠史数据的比较

Mobile phone survey estimates of perinatal mortality in Malawi: A comparison of data from truncated and full pregnancy histories.

作者信息

Reniers Georges, Romero-Prieto Julio, Chasukwa Michael, Muthema Funny, Walters Sarah, Masquelier Bruno, Banda Jethro, Souza Emmanuel, Dulani Boniface

机构信息

Department of Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Institute of Public Opinion and Research, Zomba, Malawi.

出版信息

Trop Med Int Health. 2025 Jun;30(6):521-530. doi: 10.1111/tmi.14109. Epub 2025 Apr 20.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

In many low- and middle-income countries, perinatal mortality estimates are derived retrospectively from periodically conducted household surveys. Mobile phone surveys offer advantages in terms of cost and ease of implementation. However, their suitability for monitoring perinatal mortality has not been established.

METHODS

We use data from the Malawi Rapid Mortality Mobile Phone Survey (RaMMPS) to estimate perinatal mortality rates from two versions of the survey instrument: a full pregnancy history and a shorter truncated pregnancy history. Female respondents of reproductive age were randomly allocated to either of these instruments. The sample was generated through random digit dialling with active strata monitoring. Post-stratification weighting was used to correct for sample selection bias, and estimates are reported with bootstrap confidence intervals. We estimated the stillbirth rate as the synthetic cohort probability of a foetal death with 28+ weeks of gestation over all pregnancies reaching the same gestational age. The perinatal and extended perinatal mortality rates were defined as the probabilities of dying between 28 weeks and 7 or 28 days of life, respectively. RaMMPS estimates are compared to the 2015-2016 Malawi Demographic and Health Survey and estimates published by the United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation.

RESULTS

Truncated and full pregnancy histories were administered for 2093 and 2067 women, respectively. Weighted point estimates of the stillbirth (19.81 deaths per 1000 pregnancies, 95%-confidence interval (CI): 14.11-25.62), perinatal (42.41, 95%-CI: 33.91-50.92), and extended perinatal mortality rates (50.11, 95%-CI: 41.56-58.84) from the full pregnancy history instrument are in line with Demographic and Health Survey and United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation estimates. In comparison, the mortality estimates from the truncated pregnancy history instrument are higher, but this difference only approaches statistical significance in the case of the stillbirth rate. Post-stratification weighting produces a small upwards adjustment in the estimates.

CONCLUSION

Mobile phone surveys are a promising method for collecting perinatal mortality data. The full pregnancy history instrument produces more plausible results than the shorter truncated pregnancy history questionnaire where the window of retrospection is restricted.

摘要

目的

在许多低收入和中等收入国家,围产期死亡率估计数是通过定期开展的家庭调查进行回顾性推算得出的。手机调查在成本和实施便利性方面具有优势。然而,其在监测围产期死亡率方面的适用性尚未得到证实。

方法

我们利用马拉维快速死亡率手机调查(RaMMPS)的数据,通过两种版本的调查工具来估计围产期死亡率:完整的妊娠史和较短的截断妊娠史。育龄期女性受访者被随机分配到这两种工具中的一种。样本通过随机数字拨号并进行活跃分层监测生成。采用事后分层加权来校正样本选择偏差,并报告带有自助置信区间的估计值。我们将死产率估计为所有达到相同孕周的妊娠中,妊娠28周及以上胎儿死亡的合成队列概率。围产期和延长围产期死亡率分别定义为在妊娠28周和出生后7天或28天内死亡的概率。将RaMMPS估计值与2015 - 2016年马拉维人口与健康调查以及联合国儿童死亡率估计机构间小组公布的估计值进行比较。

结果

分别对2093名和2067名女性进行了截断妊娠史和完整妊娠史调查。完整妊娠史工具得出的死产(每1000例妊娠19.81例死亡,95%置信区间(CI):14.11 - 25.62)、围产期(42.41,95%CI:33.91 - 50.92)和延长围产期死亡率(50.11,95%CI:41.56 - 58.84)的加权点估计值与人口与健康调查以及联合国儿童死亡率估计机构间小组的估计值一致。相比之下,截断妊娠史工具得出的死亡率估计值更高,但这种差异仅在死产率情况下接近统计学显著性。事后分层加权使估计值有小幅上调。

结论

手机调查是收集围产期死亡率数据的一种有前景的方法。完整妊娠史工具比回顾期受限的较短截断妊娠史问卷得出的结果更合理。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9646/12136939/8af91e75f405/TMI-30-521-g002.jpg

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