Lyu Yang, Han Tao, Zhang Zhen, Wu Yulin, Guan Qingpei, Hong Enlyu, Gao Wenbin, Wang Donghao, Lu Jia
Department of Intensive Care Unit, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin's Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, West Huan-Hu Rd, Ti Yuan Bei, Hexi District, Tianjin, China.
Department of Intensive Care Unit, Tianjin Cancer Hospital Airport Hospital, Tianjin, China.
Support Care Cancer. 2025 Apr 22;33(5):404. doi: 10.1007/s00520-025-09464-z.
To evaluate the ability of infection indicators to predict the prognosis of sepsis patients with tumor.
A total of 317 patients admitted to ICU from January 1, 2021 to June 30, 2021 were enrolled. Among them, 163 patients were infected during peri-operative period, and 98 patients were ultimately diagnosed with sepsis. The infection indicators were analyzed for prediction of sepsis prognosis.
Comparison of infection indicators between sepsis and non-sepsis patients showed that procalcitonin (PCT) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) showed significant changes in sepsis patients (p < 0.05), and PCT combined with IL-6 significantly improved the specificity of early screening for sepsis with the highest positivity predictive value for sepsis. A combination of PCT > 5.965 ng/mL and IL-6 > 2808 pg/mL was associated with poor prognosis. Peak value combinations of PCT and IL-6 for prediction specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 0.935, 0.692, and 0.682, respectively.
Abnormal increase of PCT and IL-6 has a good early warning effect on sepsis in cancer patients, and the combination of PCT and IL-6 can improve predictive specificity and increase positive predictive ability of sepsis diagnosis. PCT combined with IL-6 shows the value in predicting the prognosis of sepsis patients with cancer.
评估感染指标预测肿瘤合并脓毒症患者预后的能力。
纳入2021年1月1日至2021年6月30日入住重症监护病房(ICU)的317例患者。其中,163例患者在围手术期发生感染,98例最终被诊断为脓毒症。分析感染指标对脓毒症预后的预测情况。
脓毒症患者与非脓毒症患者感染指标比较显示,脓毒症患者降钙素原(PCT)和白细胞介素-6(IL-6)有显著变化(p<0.05),PCT联合IL-6显著提高了脓毒症早期筛查的特异性,对脓毒症的阳性预测值最高。PCT>5.965 ng/mL且IL-6>2808 pg/mL的组合与预后不良相关。PCT和IL-6预测特异性、阳性预测值和阴性预测值的峰值组合分别为0.935、0.692和0.682。
PCT和IL-6异常升高对癌症患者脓毒症有良好的早期预警作用,PCT与IL-6联合可提高预测特异性,增强脓毒症诊断的阳性预测能力。PCT联合IL-6在预测肿瘤合并脓毒症患者预后方面具有价值。