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埃塞俄比亚东北部博鲁梅达综合医院新生儿重症监护病房收治的新生儿的死亡时间及其预测因素。

Time to death and its predictors among neonates admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit at Boru Meda General Hospital, Northeast Ethiopia.

作者信息

Awoke Adane Baylie, Tilahun Feleke, Hassen Seid, Bialfew Fentaw, Molla Assressie, Yimam Abdulkerim Mengistu

机构信息

Boru Meda General Hospital, P.O. Box 70, Dessie, Ethiopia.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Wollo University, Wollo, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 23;15(1):14089. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-98662-0.

Abstract

Despite all efforts made, neonatal mortality remains a serious public health concern in Ethiopia, particularly in the Amhara region. Identifying the hazard time to death and its predictors plays a crucial role in reducing neonatal mortality. Therefore, this study aimed to determine time to death and its predictors among neonates admitted in the neonatal intensive care unit at Boru Meda General Hospital, northeast Ethiopia, in 2023. This institution -based retrospective cohort study was conducted among 323 neonates in the neonatal intensive care unit at Boru Meda General Hospital from November 20, 2021, to January 30, 2023. The extracted data entered in to epi- info version 7.3, exported to, and analyzed using STATA version 14. Kaplan-Meier failure function and failure probability table computed. A Cox proportional hazard model fitted to identify predictors of time to neonatal death. The hazard ratio with a 95% confidence interval reported, and statistical significance declared at a p-value of ≤ 0.05. The Proportionality assumption tested using a global test based on Schoenfeld residual analysis. Among 323 neonates studied at Boru Meda General Hospital, 28 (8.7%) died. And the overall incidence of neonatal mortality was 12.6 (95% CI: 8.7, 18.2) per 1000 neonate-days with a median time to death of 6 days and a high proportion of premature neonatal deaths of 10 (14.5%), which makes the incidence rate of premature neonatal mortality 17.2 (95% CI: 9.2, 31.9) per 1000 neonate - days. In this study, almost (85.7%) of neonatal deaths occurred within one week of their lives. Hypothermia at admission (AHR: 2.89, CI: 1.12-7.3), respiratory distress (AHR: 2.8, CI: 1.04-7.4), and congenital anomalies (AHR: 5.9, CI: 1.2-28.7) were independent predictors of neonatal mortality. In our study, we found a high rate of early neonatal mortality. Level of body temperature at admissions, respiratory distress, and congenital anomalies were independent predictors of the time to death of neonates. Therefore, an intervention that focuses on the identified predictors had a significant impact to reduce neonatal mortality.

摘要

尽管已做出种种努力,但新生儿死亡率仍是埃塞俄比亚严重的公共卫生问题,尤其是在阿姆哈拉地区。确定死亡的危险时间及其预测因素对降低新生儿死亡率起着至关重要的作用。因此,本研究旨在确定2023年在埃塞俄比亚东北部博鲁梅达综合医院新生儿重症监护病房住院的新生儿的死亡时间及其预测因素。这项基于机构的回顾性队列研究在博鲁梅达综合医院新生儿重症监护病房的323名新生儿中进行,研究时间为2021年11月20日至2023年1月30日。提取的数据录入Epi-Info 7.3版本,导出后使用Stata 14版本进行分析。计算Kaplan-Meier失败函数和失败概率表。拟合Cox比例风险模型以确定新生儿死亡时间的预测因素。报告了95%置信区间的风险比,并在p值≤0.05时声明具有统计学意义。使用基于Schoenfeld残差分析的全局检验来检验比例假设。在博鲁梅达综合医院研究的323名新生儿中,28名(8.7%)死亡。新生儿死亡率的总体发生率为每1000新生儿日12.6(95%CI:8.7,18.2),中位死亡时间为6天,早产新生儿死亡比例较高,为10例(14.5%),这使得早产新生儿死亡率为每1000新生儿日17.2(95%CI:9.2,31.9)。在本研究中,几乎(85.7%)的新生儿死亡发生在其生命的一周内。入院时体温过低(风险比:2.89,置信区间:1.12 - 7.3)、呼吸窘迫(风险比:2.8,置信区间:1.04 - 7.4)和先天性异常(风险比:5.9,置信区间:1.2 - 28.7)是新生儿死亡的独立预测因素。在我们的研究中,我们发现早期新生儿死亡率很高。入院时的体温水平、呼吸窘迫和先天性异常是新生儿死亡时间的独立预测因素。因此,针对已确定的预测因素的干预措施对降低新生儿死亡率有显著影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4196/12019600/782797f011a6/41598_2025_98662_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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