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在埃塞俄比亚西北部贡德尔大学综合专科医院新生儿重症监护病房收治的早产儿中的生存情况和预测因素。

Survival and predictors among preterm neonates admitted at University of Gondar comprehensive specialized hospital neonatal intensive care unit, Northwest Ethiopia.

机构信息

School of midwifery, College of Medicine and Health Science, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia.

Department of Reproductive Health, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Ital J Pediatr. 2019 Jan 7;45(1):4. doi: 10.1186/s13052-018-0597-3.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Prematurity accounts about 1 million neonatal deaths worldwide and the second causes of both neonatal and under five-child mortality. Neonatal mortality accounts for 43% of under-five child mortality in Ethiopia. From this preterm is the second leading cause of death and is steadily increased in low-income countries. Therefore, the aim of this study was to assess time to death and predictors among preterm neonates admitted in University of Gondar comprehensive specialized hospital neonatal intensive care unit North West Ethiopia 2018.

METHODS

Institution-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 516 preterm neonates from January 2016 to March 2018. Data were extracted retrospectively from patients' records using a pretested structured checklist. Descriptive summary statistics like median survival time, Kaplan Meier failure estimation curve and Log-rank test were computed. Bivariate and multivariable Gompertz parametric hazards models were fitted to identify the predictors of mortality. Hazard ratio with a 95% confidence interval was calculated and p-values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The proportion of preterm neonatal death in this study was 28.8% (95%CI (25.1, 32.9)). Home delivery (AHR = 2.25, 95% CI (1.03, 4.88)), hyaline membrane disease (AHR =3.21, 95% CI (1.96, 5.25)), gestational age, (AHR = 0.82, 95% CI (0.74, 0.91)), cry immediately at birth (AHR = 1.74, 95% CI (1.19, 2.53)), kangaroo mother care (AHR = 0.24, 95%CI (0.11, 0.52)), presence of jaundice (AHR = 1.62, 95%CI (1.12, 2.54)) and hypoglycemia at admission (AHR = 1.75, 95%CI (1.21, 2.54)) were found to be significant predictors of time to death for preterm neonates.

CONCLUSION

Proportion of preterm neonatal death in this study was high. Home delivery, Jaundice, hypoglycemia, gestational age, cry immediately at birth, kangaroo mother care and hyaline membrane disease were significant predictors of time to death.

摘要

背景

早产占全球新生儿死亡人数的 100 万,也是新生儿和五岁以下儿童死亡的第二大原因。在埃塞俄比亚,新生儿死亡人数占五岁以下儿童死亡人数的 43%。早产儿是导致五岁以下儿童死亡的第二大原因,在低收入国家呈稳步上升趋势。因此,本研究旨在评估 2018 年在埃塞俄比亚贡德尔大学综合专科医院新生儿重症监护病房入院的早产儿的死亡时间和预测因素。

方法

这是一项 2016 年 1 月至 2018 年 3 月在西北埃塞俄比亚贡德尔大学综合专科医院新生儿重症监护病房进行的基于机构的回顾性随访研究。使用经过预测试的结构化检查表从患者记录中提取数据。计算了中位数生存时间、Kaplan-Meier 失败估计曲线和对数秩检验等描述性汇总统计数据。拟合了双变量和多变量 Gompertz 参数风险模型,以确定死亡率的预测因素。计算了风险比及其 95%置信区间,p 值<0.05 被认为具有统计学意义。

结果

本研究中早产儿死亡的比例为 28.8%(95%CI(25.1,32.9))。家庭分娩(AHR=2.25,95%CI(1.03,4.88))、透明膜病(AHR=3.21,95%CI(1.96,5.25))、胎龄(AHR=0.82,95%CI(0.74,0.91))、出生时立即啼哭(AHR=1.74,95%CI(1.19,2.53))、袋鼠式护理(AHR=0.24,95%CI(0.11,0.52))、黄疸(AHR=1.62,95%CI(1.12,2.54))和入院时低血糖(AHR=1.75,95%CI(1.21,2.54))被发现是早产儿死亡时间的显著预测因素。

结论

本研究中早产儿死亡比例较高。家庭分娩、黄疸、低血糖、胎龄、出生时立即啼哭、袋鼠式护理和透明膜病是死亡时间的显著预测因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3177/6322326/3d94deab60a9/13052_2018_597_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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