将有利的媒介环境条件与厄瓜多尔家畜广泛接触蓝舌病病毒的血清学证据联系起来。

Linking vector favourable environmental conditions with serological evidence of widespread bluetongue virus exposure in livestock in Ecuador.

作者信息

Acosta Alfredo, Barrera Maritza, Jarrín David, Maldonado Alexander, Salas Johanna, Camargo Guilherme, Mello Beatriz, Burbano Alexandra, DelaTorre Euclides, Hoffman Bernd, Dietze Klaas

机构信息

Friedrich-Loeffler-Institut, Greifswald, Germany.

Preventive Veterinary Medicine Department, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 24;15(1):14382. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-95918-7.

Abstract

Despite existing knowledge of bluetongue disease (BT) in Latin America, little information is available on its actual spread and overall burden. As a vector-borne disease, high-risk areas for BT coincide with environmental conditions favourable for the prevailing vector. In Ecuador, information on the presence of BT is limited to singled out virological findings. In this study, we obtained serological evidence for BT virus exposure from the passive surveillance system of the National Veterinary Service, which monitors reproductive-vesicular diseases, including FMD and BT, as part of differential diagnosis. Bioclimatic factors relevant to Culicoides development as the main vector and host abundance at the parish level were considered as risk factors and analysed using a logistic regression model. The results reveal widespread evidence of bluetongue virus exposure, geographically aligning with favourable vector ecosystems within a temperature range of 12-32 °C. Key variables for predicting high-risk BT areas include cattle population, maximum temperature of the warmest month, minimum temperature of the coldest month, temperature seasonality, and precipitation of the driest month. This analysis, the first of its kind for an Andean country with diverse ecosystems, provides a foundation for initial strategic approaches for targeted surveillance and control measures, considering a One Health approach.

摘要

尽管拉丁美洲对蓝舌病(BT)已有一定了解,但关于其实际传播情况和总体负担的信息却很少。作为一种媒介传播疾病,蓝舌病的高风险区域与有利于主要媒介生存的环境条件相吻合。在厄瓜多尔,关于蓝舌病存在的信息仅限于个别病毒学研究结果。在本研究中,我们从国家兽医服务局的被动监测系统中获得了蓝舌病病毒暴露的血清学证据,该系统作为鉴别诊断的一部分,监测包括口蹄疫和蓝舌病在内的生殖-水疱性疾病。与作为主要媒介的库蠓发育相关的生物气候因素以及教区层面的宿主丰度被视为风险因素,并使用逻辑回归模型进行分析。结果显示,在12至32摄氏度的温度范围内,蓝舌病病毒暴露的证据广泛存在,且在地理上与有利的媒介生态系统一致。预测蓝舌病高风险区域的关键变量包括牛的数量、最暖月的最高温度、最冷月的最低温度、温度季节性以及最干月的降水量。这项分析是针对拥有多样生态系统的安第斯国家的首次此类分析,考虑到“同一健康”方法,为有针对性的监测和控制措施的初步战略方法提供了基础。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f13c/12022061/eb9ebcccffb5/41598_2025_95918_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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