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生物效应监测:区分自然变化与污染引起的变化。

The monitoring of biological effects: the separation of natural changes from those induced by pollution.

作者信息

Cushing D H

出版信息

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 1979 Aug 8;286(1015):597-609. doi: 10.1098/rstb.1979.0048.

Abstract

An added mortality rate of eggs, larvae and juveniles of fish populations, or impact, is assumed to be density independent. The total mortality from hatching to recruitment is represented by the fecundity, and any increment in density independent mortality implies a decrement in density dependent mortality. At high stock the condequence is an increase in stock towards a position of less resilience: at low stock less resilience is found with a decrease in stock. In general impact generates a shift of K-strategy, the self-stabilizing strategy, to r-strategy, and opportunistic one. In a fish population very little impact should be tolerated at low stock because it would prevent recovery to a management objective such as maximum sustainable yield. At high stock, impact may generate more stock at an unknown risk.

摘要

鱼类种群的卵、幼体和成鱼的额外死亡率或影响被假定为与密度无关。从孵化到补充的总死亡率由繁殖力表示,与密度无关的死亡率的任何增加都意味着与密度有关的死亡率的减少。在高种群数量时,结果是种群数量增加,向着恢复力较低的状态发展;在低种群数量时,随着种群数量减少,恢复力也较低。一般来说,影响会导致从K策略(自我稳定策略)向r策略(机会主义策略)的转变。在鱼类种群中,低种群数量时应极少容忍影响,因为这会阻碍恢复到诸如最大可持续产量这样的管理目标。在高种群数量时,影响可能会以未知风险产生更多的种群数量。

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