Gubler Duane J, Hanley Kathryn A, Monath Thomas P, Morens David M, Nogueira Mauricio Lacerda, Vasilakis Nikos, Weaver Scott C
Program in Emerging Infectious Diseases, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.
Department of Biology, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM, USA.
Npj Viruses. 2025 Apr 24;3(1):34. doi: 10.1038/s44298-024-00079-5.
In 1923, H.R. Carter published a seminal treatise on the possibility of yellow fever virus spreading to the Asia Pacific region, where large numbers of susceptible people were at risk of infection. This paper marks the 100th anniversary of that publication, and posits that, despite many public health advances, global trends increase the likelihood of yellow fever virus geographic spread. Potential reasons for the failure of the virus to spread are discussed.
1923年，H.R.卡特发表了一篇具有开创性的论文，探讨了黄热病病毒传播至亚太地区的可能性，该地区有大量易感人群面临感染风险。本文纪念该论文发表100周年，并指出，尽管公共卫生取得了诸多进展，但全球趋势增加了黄热病病毒在地理上传播的可能性。文中还讨论了病毒未能传播的潜在原因。
