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1993 - 2020年澳大利亚酒精性肝病住院人数的年龄、时期和队列趋势

Age, period and cohort trends in hospital admissions for alcohol-related liver disease in Australia, 1993-2020.

作者信息

Livingston Michael, Gilmore Will, Taylor Nic, Chikritzhs Tanya, Yuen Wing See, Howell Jessica, Flores Ericka, Curtis Michael, Dietze Paul

机构信息

National Drug Research Institute, enAble Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Melbourne, Australia.

Centre for Alcohol Policy Research, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia.

出版信息

Drug Alcohol Rev. 2025 May;44(4):1254-1263. doi: 10.1111/dar.14063. Epub 2025 Apr 29.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

This study examines trends in admissions for alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) for Australian men and women between 1993 and 2020 and disaggregates these trends into age, period and cohort components.

METHOD

Retrospective age-period-cohort analysis of hospital admissions with a primary diagnosis of ALD.

SETTING

Australia.

CASES

133,705 hospital admissions - 97,755 men (73%); 35,950 women (27%).

MEASUREMENTS

Hospital admissions for ALD were grouped into five-year age groups (15-19, 20-24 up to 85 and over) for each financial year between 1992/93 and 2020/21.

RESULTS

ALD admission rates were substantially higher for men than women. Rates for men increased up to 2005 and subsequently declined before an uptick in 2020. For women, rates increased steadily over the period. In age-period-cohort models, male admission rates were relatively stable over both period and cohort. For women, period effects increased steadily - compared to the period reference year of 2006, the RR for women's admission rates was 0.69 (0.65, 0.74) in 1993, increasing to 1.23 (1.18, 1.29) in 2020. Recent cohorts had significantly higher rates of hospital admission for ALD than those born earlier (e.g., women born in the 1996 cohort had an RR of 2.2 (1.8, 2.7) relative to those born in the reference year 1956).

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS

Increases in hospital admissions for ALD, especially since the COVID-19 pandemic, point to the need for effective identification and interventions for people with alcohol-use disorders at risk of chronic disease outcomes.

摘要

引言

本研究调查了1993年至2020年间澳大利亚男性和女性酒精性肝病(ALD)的入院趋势,并将这些趋势分解为年龄、时期和队列因素。

方法

对以ALD为主要诊断的住院病例进行回顾性年龄-时期-队列分析。

背景

澳大利亚。

病例

133705例住院病例——男性97755例(73%);女性35950例(27%)。

测量指标

在1992/93年至2020/21年的每个财政年度,将ALD住院病例按五年年龄组(15 - 19岁、20 - 24岁直至85岁及以上)进行分组。

结果

男性的ALD入院率显著高于女性。男性的入院率在2005年之前上升,随后下降,在2020年有所回升。对于女性,在此期间入院率稳步上升。在年龄-时期-队列模型中,男性的入院率在时期和队列方面相对稳定。对于女性,时期效应稳步增加——与2006年的时期参考年相比,1993年女性入院率的相对风险(RR)为0.69(0.65,0.74),到2020年增至1.23(1.18,1.29)。最近队列的ALD住院率明显高于早出生队列(例如,1996年出生队列的女性相对于1956年参考年出生的女性,RR为2.2(1.8,2.7))。

讨论与结论

ALD住院率的增加,尤其是自新冠疫情以来,表明需要对有酒精使用障碍且有慢性病结局风险的人群进行有效识别和干预。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0c1e/12117307/41ef456df2ad/DAR-44-1254-g001.jpg

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