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非洲大陆肝细胞癌(HCC)诊断和治疗异质性的贝叶斯分层模型

Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Heterogeneity in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) in the African Continent.

作者信息

Capanu Marinela, Li Yuelin, Chou Joanne, Gönen Mithat, Abou-Alfa Ghassan K

机构信息

Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, NY, USA.

Weill Medical College at Cornell University, NY, USA.

出版信息

Commun Stat Case Stud Data Anal Appl. 2024;10(3-4):302-323. doi: 10.1080/23737484.2024.2434824. Epub 2024 Dec 16.

Abstract

HCC prevalence and etiology differ between African regions. To better understand these differences, a survey was conducted to characterize the health care practices in HCC management in Africa. Due to limited number of respondents from certain countries in Africa and due to scarce availability of resources, the traditional method of adaptive quadrature produces unstable estimates in this complex setting with sparse multinomial outcomes and with sparse clustered random effects. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model to address this challenge, apply it to the sparse real data captured in the survey, and validate the proposed method through simulations on synthetic data.

摘要

非洲不同地区的肝癌患病率和病因各不相同。为了更好地理解这些差异,开展了一项调查以描述非洲肝癌管理中的医疗实践情况。由于非洲某些国家的受访者数量有限,且资源稀缺,在这种具有稀疏多项结果和稀疏聚类随机效应的复杂情况下,传统的自适应求积法会产生不稳定的估计值。我们提出一种贝叶斯分层模型来应对这一挑战,将其应用于调查中获取的稀疏实际数据,并通过对合成数据的模拟来验证所提出的方法。

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