Jun Yu Kyung, Choi Yonghoon, Shin Cheol Min, Park Young Soo, Kim Nayoung, Lee Dong Ho, Ahn Soyeon, Yoon Hyuk
Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, South Korea.
Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
J Gastroenterol. 2025 May 2. doi: 10.1007/s00535-025-02244-w.
The disease course of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is highly variable; early and precise identification of patients with poor outcomes is crucial. We aimed to classify the long-term disease course of IBD using biochemical markers and evaluate the clinical factors associated with different disease courses.
A latent class mixed model was employed to identify distinct trajectories of C-reactive protein (CRP) and fecal calprotectin (FCP) levels in 256 and 635 patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), respectively, from a tertiary hospital cohort. Multinomial logistic regression was used to evaluate the relationships between various trajectories and clinical variables.
Three trajectories were identified for CD and UC: class 1, early and sustained biochemical remission; class 2, delayed remission; and class 3, prolonged difficulty in achieving remission for > 5 years. For patients with CD, early immunomodulator initiation was associated with a high likelihood of belonging to class 1 in the CRP trajectory analysis, whereas early advanced therapy increased the probability of belonging to class 1 in the FCP trajectory analysis. CRP trajectory analysis showed no significant associations in patients with UC. Younger age at diagnosis and early immunomodulator initiation were associated with higher odds of being in class 2 or 3, whereas current smoking was associated with a high likelihood of being in class 1 in the FCP trajectory analysis.
Early aggressive medical treatment for CD may lead to long-term biochemical remission, whereas no similar association was observed in UC.
炎症性肠病(IBD)的病程高度可变;早期准确识别预后不良的患者至关重要。我们旨在使用生化标志物对IBD的长期病程进行分类,并评估与不同病程相关的临床因素。
采用潜在类别混合模型,分别从一家三级医院队列中的256例克罗恩病(CD)患者和635例溃疡性结肠炎(UC)患者中识别C反应蛋白(CRP)和粪便钙卫蛋白(FCP)水平的不同轨迹。使用多项逻辑回归评估各种轨迹与临床变量之间的关系。
为CD和UC确定了三种轨迹:第1类,早期且持续的生化缓解;第2类,延迟缓解;第3类,超过5年难以实现缓解。对于CD患者,在CRP轨迹分析中,早期开始使用免疫调节剂与属于第1类的高可能性相关,而在FCP轨迹分析中,早期采用强化治疗增加了属于第1类的概率。CRP轨迹分析在UC患者中未显示出显著关联。诊断时年龄较小和早期开始使用免疫调节剂与处于第2类或第3类的较高几率相关,而在FCP轨迹分析中,当前吸烟与处于第1类的高可能性相关。
对CD进行早期积极的药物治疗可能导致长期生化缓解,而在UC中未观察到类似关联。