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通过对模式的吸引力,运用算法方法来塑造人类决策。

Using an algorithmic approach to shape human decision-making through attraction to patterns.

作者信息

Shani-Narkiss Haran, Eitam Baruch, Amsalem Oren

机构信息

UCL Sainsbury Wellcome Centre for Neural Circuits and Behaviour, London, W1T 4JG, UK.

School of Psychological Sciences, University of Haifa, Mount Carmel, Haifa, Israel.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2025 May 2;16(1):4110. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-59131-4.

DOI:10.1038/s41467-025-59131-4
PMID:40316528
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12048589/
Abstract

Evidence suggests that people are attracted to patterns and regularity. We hypothesized that decision-makers, intending to maximize profit, may be lured by the existence of regularity, even when it does not confer any additional value. An algorithm based on this premise outperformed all other contenders in an international challenge to bias individuals' preferences. To create the bias, the algorithm allocates rewards in an evolving, yet easily trackable, pattern to one option but not the other. This leads decision-makers to prefer the regular option over the other 2:1, even though this preference proves to be relatively disadvantageous. The results support the idea that humans assign value to regularity and more generally, for the utility of qualitative approaches to human decision-making. They also suggest that models of decision making that are based solely on reward learning may be incomplete.

摘要

有证据表明,人们会被模式和规律性所吸引。我们假设,意图实现利润最大化的决策者可能会被规律性的存在所诱惑,即使这种规律性并没有带来任何额外价值。在一项影响个人偏好的国际挑战赛中,基于这一前提的算法比所有其他竞争者表现得更出色。为了制造这种偏好,该算法以一种不断演变但易于追踪的模式向一个选项分配奖励,而不是另一个选项。这导致决策者以2比1的比例更喜欢有规律的选项,尽管这种偏好被证明是相对不利的。这些结果支持了这样一种观点,即人类会赋予规律性价值,更普遍地说,支持了定性方法对人类决策有用性的观点。它们还表明,仅基于奖励学习的决策模型可能是不完整的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/33bf/12048589/55d17c43c9d3/41467_2025_59131_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/33bf/12048589/b4614e5c75ca/41467_2025_59131_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/33bf/12048589/1f80b3db8d83/41467_2025_59131_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/33bf/12048589/92a82eea60b2/41467_2025_59131_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/33bf/12048589/55d17c43c9d3/41467_2025_59131_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/33bf/12048589/b4614e5c75ca/41467_2025_59131_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/33bf/12048589/1f80b3db8d83/41467_2025_59131_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/33bf/12048589/92a82eea60b2/41467_2025_59131_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/33bf/12048589/55d17c43c9d3/41467_2025_59131_Fig4_HTML.jpg

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Field interventions for climate change mitigation behaviors: A second-order meta-analysis.减缓气候变化行为的实地干预措施:二阶元分析。
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Implicit learning of regularities followed by realistic body movements in virtual reality.在虚拟现实中对规律进行内隐学习,随后进行逼真的身体动作。
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The i-frame and the s-frame: How focusing on individual-level solutions has led behavioral public policy astray.i 帧和 s 帧:关注个体层面的解决方案如何使行为公共政策误入歧途。
Behav Brain Sci. 2022 Sep 5;46:e147. doi: 10.1017/S0140525X22002023.
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No evidence for nudging after adjusting for publication bias.在对发表偏倚进行校正后,没有证据支持助推作用。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Aug 2;119(31):e2200300119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2200300119. Epub 2022 Jul 19.
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No reason to expect large and consistent effects of nudge interventions.没有理由期待助推干预措施会产生巨大且一致的效果。
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What to expect where and when: how statistical learning drives visual selection.期待在何处何时:统计学习如何驱动视觉选择。
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Motivation(s) from control: response-effect contingency and confirmation of sensorimotor predictions reinforce different levels of selection.来自控制的动机:反应-效果的偶然性以及感觉运动预测的确认强化了不同层次的选择。
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