Jacobs Femke J C, Govers Tim M, Fütterer Jurgen J, van de Ven Annenienke, Rovers Maroeska M
Department of Medical Imaging, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Endocrinology, Radboud University Medical Centre, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Clin Endocrinol (Oxf). 2025 Aug;103(2):216-224. doi: 10.1111/cen.15263. Epub 2025 May 5.
Patients require additional treatment when pituitary surgery for Cushing's disease is unsuccessful. Exciting innovations in pituitary surgery bring hope for achieving better outcomes. Quantifying the potential value of these innovations using early health economic modelling can provide guidance throughout their development. The aim of this study was to explore the conditions for success of these innovations using cost-effectiveness analyses.
The model consists of a decision tree and state-transition model with a 10-year time horizon.
The model simulates the clinical management of patients with Cushing's disease and pituitary surgery as primary treatment.
Model input was derived from literature and expert opinion. Model outcomes were incremental healthcare costs and incremental quality-adjusted life-years (QALY). We performed scenario analyses, including a headroom and threshold analysis, to determine the maximum innovation price for cost-effectiveness. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis and one-way sensitivity analyses were performed to address the impact of uncertainty on outcome parameters.
The headroom analysis showed that per patient 0.028 QALYs could be gained and 2082 euros could be saved over 10 years. With a willingness to pay of 80,000 euros, the maximum price of an innovation is 4288 euros (95% CI: 3377-5181) to reach cost-effectiveness. Sensitivity analyses showed that utility values mainly determined cost-effectiveness.
Our early health economic model exploring the conditions for success of innovations in pituitary surgery shows room for improvement, but also the importance of accurate health-related quality of life data to assess the economic value of innovations in individuals with CD.
库欣病垂体手术未成功时患者需要额外治疗。垂体手术令人兴奋的创新为实现更好的治疗效果带来了希望。使用早期健康经济模型量化这些创新的潜在价值可为其整个研发过程提供指导。本研究的目的是通过成本效益分析探索这些创新成功的条件。
该模型由一个决策树和一个为期10年的状态转换模型组成。
该模型模拟库欣病患者以垂体手术作为主要治疗方法的临床管理。
模型输入源自文献和专家意见。模型结果为增量医疗保健成本和增量质量调整生命年(QALY)。我们进行了情景分析,包括空间和阈值分析,以确定成本效益的最大创新价格。进行了概率敏感性分析和单因素敏感性分析,以解决不确定性对结果参数的影响。
空间分析表明,每位患者在10年内可获得0.028个QALY,并可节省2082欧元。若支付意愿为80,000欧元,创新的最高价格为4288欧元(95%CI:3377 - 5181)以达到成本效益。敏感性分析表明,效用值主要决定成本效益。
我们探索垂体手术创新成功条件的早期健康经济模型显示出改进的空间,但也表明准确的健康相关生活质量数据对于评估库欣病患者创新的经济价值的重要性。