Akhtar Zubair, Moa Aye M, Tan Timothy C, Fröbert Ole, Menzies Robert, MacIntyre C Raina
Biosecurity Program, The Kirby Institute, Faculty of Medicine and Health, UNSW, Sydney, NSW 2033, Australia.
Department of Cardiology, Blacktown Hospital, University of Western Sydney, Blacktown, NSW 2148, Australia.
Vaccines (Basel). 2025 Apr 14;13(4):407. doi: 10.3390/vaccines13040407.
In Australia, 2017 was a severe A/H3N2 season and, therefore, we estimated the effectiveness of standard-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine in preventing hospitalization for cardiovascular disease (CVD) among New South Wales (NSW) residents aged ≥50 years. We conducted a nested, matched case-control study within the 45 and Up study, linking data from the Australian Immunization Register, NSW Admitted Patient Data Collection and Pharmaceutical Benefits Schedule. Cases were individuals hospitalized for CVD and controls were those who were hospitalized for gastrointestinal diseases. The two groups were balanced using 1:1 propensity score matching based on age group (50-64, 65-74, 75-84, and ≥85 years) and sex. After adjusting for confounders (smoking, body mass index and income), we calculated the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for vaccination during the season using multivariable logistic regression. E-values were estimated to assess residual confounding. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) was calculated as (1 - aOR) × 100. There were 10,445 (4452 cases and 5993 controls) study participants. After matching, 8904 (85.2%) were retained with a mean age of 76.4 ± 10.4 years and 58.3% men. Following adjustment for confounders, the aOR of averting a CVD hospitalization was 0.15 (95% CI: 0.13 to 0.17; < 0.001). The estimated VE against CVD hospitalization was 85% (95% CI: 83 to 87). We found an E-value of 12.82, indicating strong evidence of minimal residual confounding. In the severe 2017 influenza A/H3N2 season in Australia, we observed a high VE in preventing cardiovascular hospitalization despite a low VE against influenza infection prevention. Improving vaccine uptake may reduce cardiovascular burden.
在澳大利亚,2017年是A/H3N2流感的严重流行季,因此,我们评估了标准剂量四价流感疫苗在预防新南威尔士州(NSW)50岁及以上居民因心血管疾病(CVD)住院方面的有效性。我们在“45岁及以上”研究中进行了一项嵌套式匹配病例对照研究,将澳大利亚免疫登记册、新南威尔士州住院患者数据收集和药品福利计划的数据相链接。病例为因心血管疾病住院的个体,对照为因胃肠道疾病住院的个体。根据年龄组(50 - 64岁、65 - 74岁、75 - 84岁和85岁及以上)和性别,使用1:1倾向评分匹配使两组达到平衡。在对混杂因素(吸烟、体重指数和收入)进行调整后,我们使用多变量逻辑回归计算了该季节接种疫苗的调整优势比(aOR)。估计E值以评估残余混杂情况。疫苗有效性(VE)计算为(1 - aOR)×100。共有10445名研究参与者(4452例病例和5993例对照)。匹配后,保留了8904名(85.2%),平均年龄为76.4±10.4岁,男性占58.3%。在对混杂因素进行调整后,避免心血管疾病住院的aOR为0.15(95%CI:0.13至0.17;<0.001)。针对心血管疾病住院的估计疫苗有效性为85%(95%CI:83至87)。我们发现E值为12.82,表明有强有力的证据证明残余混杂极小。在澳大利亚2017年严重的甲型H3N2流感季节,尽管预防流感感染的疫苗有效性较低,但我们观察到预防心血管疾病住院的疫苗有效性较高。提高疫苗接种率可能会减轻心血管负担。