Chen Hongyu, Fan Fangfang, Ye Ziliang, Liang Zhe, Qin Xianhui, Zhang Yan
Department of Cardiology, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Institute of Cardiovascular Disease, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich). 2025 May;27(5):e70058. doi: 10.1111/jch.70058.
Photoplethysmography-derived arterial stiffness index (ASI) has been proven to be associated with various cardiovascular diseases. The present study aims to determine whether the predictive value of ASI varies between elderly and non-elderly and whether ASI improves the discrimination and reclassification ability of the updated Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE2) in different age groups. This retrospective study included UK Biobank participants with ASI recordings. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the associations between ASI and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in different age groups. The difference in C-statistic, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) were calculated to test the predictive performance of ASI beyond SCORE2 in the elderly and non-elderly. A total of 127 045 participants were included in the primary analysis. During a median of 11.7 years, 2606 (10.7%) and 4408 (4.3%) MACE were identified in the elderly and non-elderly, respectively. The non-elderly exhibited a greater extent of increased risk for MACE with higher ASI (HR, 1.314 [1.280-1.350] vs. HR, 1.066 [1.026-1.107]). Furthermore, the IDI and continuous NRI of ASI beyond SCORE2 for MACE were more than two times higher for non-elderly individuals than their elderly counterparts (IDI, 0.0481% [0.0182%-0.0953%] vs. IDI, 0.0010% [-0.0052% to 0.0295%]; NRI, 8.76% [6.83% to 10.60%] vs. NRI, 3.27% [-3.92% to 5.97%]). Our findings suggested that ASI should primarily be utilized for primary cardiovascular prevention in individuals below 65.
光电容积脉搏波描记法衍生的动脉僵硬度指数(ASI)已被证明与多种心血管疾病相关。本研究旨在确定ASI的预测价值在老年人和非老年人之间是否存在差异,以及ASI是否能提高更新后的系统性冠状动脉风险评估(SCORE2)在不同年龄组中的鉴别和重新分类能力。这项回顾性研究纳入了英国生物银行中有ASI记录的参与者。采用多变量Cox比例风险模型来估计不同年龄组中ASI与主要不良心血管事件(MACE)之间的关联。计算C统计量、综合鉴别改善(IDI)和连续净重新分类改善(NRI)的差异,以检验ASI在老年人和非老年人中超越SCORE2的预测性能。共有127045名参与者纳入了初步分析。在中位随访11.7年期间,老年人和非老年人中分别有2606例(10.7%)和4408例(4.3%)发生了MACE。ASI越高,非老年人发生MACE的风险增加程度更大(风险比,1.314[1.280 - 1.350] 对比 风险比,1.066[1.026 - 1.107])。此外,对于MACE,非老年人中ASI超越SCORE2的IDI和连续NRI比老年人高出两倍多(IDI,0.0481%[0.0182% - 0.0953%] 对比 IDI,0.0010%[-0.0052%至0.0295%];NRI,8.76%[6.83%至10.60%] 对比 NRI,3.27%[-3.92%至5.97%])。我们的研究结果表明,ASI应主要用于65岁以下个体的心血管一级预防。