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院外心脏骤停时骨内通路与静脉通路的比较:一项随机临床试验的贝叶斯二次分析

Intraosseous vs. intravenous access during out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a Bayesian secondary analysis of a randomised clinical trial.

作者信息

Vallentin Mikael Fink, Holmberg Mathias J, Granfeldt Asger, Klitgaard Thomas Lass, Mikkelsen Søren, Folke Fredrik, Christensen Helle Collatz, Povlsen Amalie Ling, Petersen Alberthe Hjort, Winther Sofie, Frilund Lea Wildt, Meilandt Carsten, Winther Kristian Blumensaadt, Bach Allan, Dissing Thomas H, Terkelsen Christian Juhl, Christensen Steffen, Rasmussen Line Kirkegaard, Mortensen Lone Riis, Loldrup Mads Ladefoged, Elkmann Thomas, Nielsen Anders Gunnar, Runge Charlotte, Klæstrup Elise, Holm Jimmy Højberg, Bak Mikkel, Nielsen Lars-Gustav Rahbek, Pedersen Mette, Kjærgaard-Andersen Gunhild, Hansen Peter Martin, Brøchner Anne Craveiro, Christensen Erika Frischknecht, Nielsen Frederik Mølgaard, Nissen Christian Gade, Bjørn Jeppe Waldstrøm, Burholt Peter, Obling Laust E R, Holle Sarah Louise Duus, Russell Lene, Alstrøm Henrik, Hestad Søren, Fogtmann Tanja Hesse, Hove Buciek Jens Ulrik, Jakobsen Karina, Krag Mette, Sandgaard Michael, Sindberg Birthe, Andersen Lars W

机构信息

Prehospital Emergency Medical Services, Central Denmark Region, Aarhus, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark; Department of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.

Department of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.

出版信息

Resuscitation. 2025 Jul;212:110634. doi: 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2025.110634. Epub 2025 May 17.

Abstract

AIM OF THE STUDY

This study aimed to apply a Bayesian probabilistic framework to the Intravenous vs. Intraosseous Vascular Access for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (IVIO) trial data to evaluate the likelihood of benefit for each vascular access method while incorporating various prior beliefs.

METHODS

The IVIO trial was a randomised trial comparing intraosseous to intravenous access in 1,479 adults with non-traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Bayesian analyses were pre-planned in the protocol and conducted using both non-informative and informative priors to calculate posterior probabilities for sustained return of spontaneous circulation, 30-day survival, and 30-day survival with a favourable neurologic outcome.

RESULTS

Using non-informative priors for return of spontaneous circulation, the posterior probabilities that the effect of either vascular access exceeds the hypothesised difference were 1.2% (risk ratio > 1.27, favouring intraosseous access) and < 0.1% (risk ratio < 0.79 [1/1.27], favouring intravenous access). For 30-day survival and survival with a favourable neurologic outcome, the posterior probability that the risk ratio for intraosseous compared to intravenous access is between 0.83 (1/1.2) and 1.2 was 58% and 55%, respectively. For all analyses with informative priors, the results did not provide probabilities strongly favouring either intraosseous or intravenous access.

CONCLUSIONS

The probability of a clinically meaningful difference in return of spontaneous circulation between intraosseous and intravenous access for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest was very low, while results for 30-day outcomes were uncertain, with no strong evidence favouring either method.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

EU Clinical Trials number: 2022-500744-38-00.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov number: NCT05205031.

摘要

研究目的

本研究旨在将贝叶斯概率框架应用于院外心脏骤停静脉与骨内血管通路(IVIO)试验数据,以评估每种血管通路方法在纳入各种先验信念时的获益可能性。

方法

IVIO试验是一项随机试验,比较了1479例非创伤性院外心脏骤停成人患者的骨内通路与静脉通路。贝叶斯分析在方案中预先计划,并使用非信息性先验和信息性先验进行,以计算自主循环持续恢复、30天生存率和30天生存率且神经功能良好的后验概率。

结果

对于自主循环恢复使用非信息性先验,两种血管通路效果超过假设差异的后验概率分别为1.2%(风险比>1.27,支持骨内通路)和<0.1%(风险比<0.79[1/1.27],支持静脉通路)。对于30天生存率和神经功能良好的生存率,骨内通路与静脉通路风险比在0.83(1/1.2)和1.2之间的后验概率分别为58%和55%。对于所有使用信息性先验的分析,结果并未提供强烈支持骨内或静脉通路的概率。

结论

院外心脏骤停时骨内通路和静脉通路在自主循环恢复方面存在临床意义差异的概率非常低,而30天结局的结果不确定,没有强有力的证据支持任何一种方法。

试验注册

欧盟临床试验编号:2022 - 500744 - 38 - 00。

ClinicalTrials.gov编号:NCT05205031。

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