Wei Hongyi, Zhang Ning, Du Ershun, Jiang Haiyang, Zhuo Zhenyu, Davidson Michael R, Li Weiran, Wang Peng, Xiao Jinyu, Kang Chongqing
Tsinghua University, Department of Electrical Engineering, Beijing 100084, China.
Tsinghua University, Institute of Climate Change and Sustainable Development, Beijing 100084, China.
iScience. 2025 Apr 8;28(5):112372. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2025.112372. eCollection 2025 May 16.
This study explores how demand-side flexible resources (DSFR) contribute to China's power system transition toward carbon neutrality. We find that approximately 20% of the costs associated with the carbon neutrality transition would be reduced by incorporating DSFR accounting for one-fourth of peak load capacity. Such reduction mainly comes from substituting costly energy storage and flexible generation units with diversified low-carbon demand resources and reducing the lock-in of thermal units in the medium term. We find that flexible electric vehicle charging and power-to-hydrogen load contribute the most to flexible load demands among DSFR, assisting regional power balancing and renewable energy accommodation. Controllable power reserve capacity of demand response resources benefits less operating expensive power reserve resources, reducing the need for gas generation by 42% in 2060. We further find load demand potentials show great influences on transition costs and system morphology development, most notably flexible power-to-hydrogen load demands.
本研究探讨了需求侧灵活资源(DSFR)如何助力中国电力系统向碳中和转型。我们发现,通过纳入占峰值负荷容量四分之一的DSFR,与碳中和转型相关的成本将降低约20%。这种降低主要源于用多样化的低碳需求资源替代昂贵的储能和灵活发电单元,并在中期减少热电机组的锁定。我们发现,在DSFR中,灵活的电动汽车充电和电转氢负荷对灵活负荷需求贡献最大,有助于区域电力平衡和可再生能源消纳。需求响应资源的可控功率储备容量减少了昂贵的功率储备资源的运行,到2060年将天然气发电量需求降低了42%。我们进一步发现,负荷需求潜力对转型成本和系统形态发展有很大影响,最显著的是灵活的电转氢负荷需求。