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老年患者在急诊科过夜留观与院内死亡率:一项为期6年的意大利随访研究

Overnight Stay in the Emergency Department and In-Hospital Mortality Among Elderly Patients: A 6-Year Follow-Up Italian Study.

作者信息

Fabbri Andrea, Tascioglu Ayca Begum, Bertini Flavio, Montesi Danilo

机构信息

Emergency Department, Local Health Agency of Romagna, Presidio Ospedaliero Morgagni-Pierantoni, via C Forlanini 34, 47121 Forlì, Italy.

Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Bologna, Mura Anteo Zamboni 7, 40126 Bologna, Italy.

出版信息

J Clin Med. 2025 Apr 22;14(9):2879. doi: 10.3390/jcm14092879.

Abstract

Due to challenges in securing hospital beds, elderly patients may face prolonged emergency department (ED) stays. Recent studies have highlighted an association between ED overnight stays (EDOSs) before admission and increased mortality. This study aimed to evaluate the potential impact of EDOSs on mortality among elderly patients awaiting a regular bed in a standard hospital ward. This monocentric, retrospective study included subjects ≥ 75 years who required urgent hospitalization between 2017 and 2022. Two groups were compared: patients hospitalized between 00:00 and 08:00 following an ED overnight stay (EDOS group), and those admitted directly to conventional medical units between 08:00 and 00:00 (Ward group). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality 30 days after ED visit. : Among the 20,009 patients included (median age: 85 years [IQR: 80-89]), 3064 (15.3%) belonged to the EDOS group, while 16,945 (84.7%) were in the Ward group. In-hospital mortality occurred in 3020 cases (15.1%), with no significant differences observed between the groups. The variables identified by the logistic model as predictors of mortality included age > 85 years, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) ≥ 5, National Early Warning Score (NEWS) > 6 at arrival, infectious diseases, respiratory diseases, and circulatory system diseases, yielding an accuracy of 0.700 ± 0.007. EDOS while awaiting inpatient beds was not a predictor of mortality. : The results of our study did not show an association between mortality and EDOS, even when considering the large sample size collected over 6 years and the varying percentages of patients awaiting hospital beds.

摘要

由于在确保医院床位方面存在挑战,老年患者可能面临急诊科(ED)停留时间延长的情况。最近的研究强调了入院前急诊科过夜停留(EDOS)与死亡率增加之间的关联。本研究旨在评估EDOS对在标准医院病房等待常规床位的老年患者死亡率的潜在影响。 这项单中心回顾性研究纳入了2017年至2022年间需要紧急住院治疗的75岁及以上受试者。比较了两组:在急诊科过夜停留后于00:00至08:00住院的患者(EDOS组),以及在08:00至00:00直接入住传统医疗科室的患者(病房组)。主要结局是急诊就诊后30天内的住院死亡率。:在纳入的20009例患者中(中位年龄:85岁[四分位间距:80 - 89岁]),3064例(15.3%)属于EDOS组,而16945例(84.7%)属于病房组。3020例(15.1%)发生了住院死亡,两组之间未观察到显著差异。逻辑模型确定的死亡率预测变量包括年龄>85岁、Charlson合并症指数(CCI)≥5、入院时国家早期预警评分(NEWS)>6、传染病、呼吸系统疾病和循环系统疾病,准确率为0.700±0.007。等待住院床位时的EDOS不是死亡率的预测因素。:我们的研究结果未显示死亡率与EDOS之间存在关联,即使考虑了6年期间收集的大样本量以及等待医院床位患者的不同百分比。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7346/12072578/bcff959cc68a/jcm-14-02879-g001.jpg

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